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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25-30% | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <20% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-25% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30-35% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 35-40% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >40% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Unknown | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 589d | 25-30% | SellYes>99¢ | $1,109 | −$2 −0.2% | — | |
| 589d | rulki | 25-30% | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,236 | +$12 +0.1% | 10 |
| 589d | Isaak👴 | 25-30% | SellYes>99¢ | $7,968 | −$32 −0.4% | — |
| 589d | 25-30% | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,134 | +$19 +0.4% | 10 | |
| 591d | 25-30% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,229 | −$34 −0.7% | — | |
| 592d | Isaak👴 | 25-30% | BuyYes100¢ | $6,251 | +$31 +0.5% | 10 |
| 595d | Draythar | 25-30% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $41,802 | +$337 +0.8% | 10 |
| 598d | TonJakk | 25-30% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,291 | +$10 +0.8% | 10 |
| 599d | Zirvain | 35-40% | BuyNo>99¢ | $32,179 | +$32 +0.1% | 10 |
| 601d | Predictandbreathe | 25-30% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,053 | −$58 −1.4% | — |
| 601d | nuvnei | 25-30% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,794 | −$37 −1.3% | — |
| 601d | nuvnei | 25-30% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,805 | +$25 +0.9% | 10 |
| 602d | janonym | 25-30% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,364 | −$31 −1.3% | — |
| 602d | AIKA-8572 fills | 25-30% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,565 | −$35 −1.4% | — |
| 604d | 123abc2 fills | 25-30% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,102 | −$43 −1.0% | — |
| 605d | 30-35% | SellNo>99¢ | $8,230 | −$8 −0.1% | — | |
| 606d | VvVv2 fills | 20-25% | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,852 | −$159 −1.1% | — |
| 606d | 25-30% | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,335 | +$12 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 607d | VvVv | 20-25% | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,986 | +$14 +0.2% | 10 |
| 607d | z0vulon2 fills | 25-30% | SellYes>99¢ | $2,491 | −$11 −0.4% | — |
| 607d | 321123 | 25-30% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,924 | +$19 +1.0% | 10 |
| 607d | SimSalabim | 25-30% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,378 | +$69 +2.0% | 10 |
| 607d | z0vulon | 25-30% | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,380 | +$123 +5.2% | 10 |
| 607d | Snoorrason | 35-40% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,492 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 607d | ChristianHorst | 30-35% | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,505 | −$1,505 −100% | 10 |
| 609d | Kapii | 30-35% | SellYes51¢ → 0¢ | $5,051 | +$5,051 +100% | — |
| 609d | 25-30% | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $1,291 | +$1,578 +122% | 15 | |
| 609d | 30-35% | BuyNo45¢ → 100¢ | $2,479 | +$3,030 +122% | 16 | |
| 609d | Melody626 | 25-30% | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $1,692 | +$2,243 +133% | 16 |
| 609d | cigarettes12 fills | <20% | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,109 | +$100 +0.4% | 10 |
| 609d | cigarettes8 fills | 25-30% | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $12,666 | −$12,666 −100% | 10 |
| 609d | cigarettes14 fills | 20-25% | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $26,356 | +$1,284 +4.9% | 10 |
| 609d | cigarettes13 fills | 35-40% | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $24,593 | +$1,584 +6.4% | 10 |
| 609d | zollar | 30-35% | BuyYes57¢ → 0¢ | $1,320 | −$1,320 −100% | 15 |
| 610d | 30-35% | SellYes56¢ → 0¢ | $5,116 | +$5,116 +100% | — | |
| 610d | 30-35% | SellYes59¢ → 0¢ | $3,143 | +$3,143 +100% | — | |
| 610d | BreadGet | 30-35% | BuyYes57¢ → 0¢ | $1,154 | −$1,154 −100% | 15 |
| 610d | 25-30% | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$1,611 +151% | 15 | |
| 610d | 30-35% | SellYes58¢ → 0¢ | $3,200 | +$3,200 +100% | — | |
| 610d | Kapii4 fills | 25-30% | BuyYes33¢ → 100¢ | $8,882 | +$17,690 +199% | 19 |
| 610d | lava-lava2 fills | 25-30% | SellYes38¢ → 100¢ | $3,207 | −$5,207 −162% | — |
| 611d | wolfmoon | 30-35% | SellYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,198 | +$1,198 +100% | — |
| 612d | 35-40% | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $14,727 | +$710 +4.8% | 10 | |
| 612d | 25-30% | SellYes34¢ → 100¢ | $5,643 | −$11,061 −196% | — | |
| 612d | lava-lava2 fills | 30-35% | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $4,613 | −$4,613 −100% | 12 |
| 613d | 25-30% | BuyYes30¢ → 100¢ | $2,119 | +$4,904 +231% | 15 | |
| 613d | >40% | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,244 | +$15 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 614d | chinatong | <20% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,695 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 614d | wokerjoesleeper5 fills | <20% | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,425 | +$26 +0.4% | 10 |
| 614d | wokerjoesleeper5 fills | >40% | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,429 | +$21 +0.3% | 10 |
| 614d | cigarettes4 fills | >40% | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,014 | +$26 +0.4% | 10 |
| 614d | chinatong | <20% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,698 | +$7 +0.2% | 10 |
| 616d | wokerjoesleeper3 fills | 35-40% | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,355 | +$278 +6.4% | 10 |
| 616d | 30-35% | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $5,742 | −$5,742 −100% | 10 | |
| 616d | wolfmoon | 30-35% | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $1,254 | −$1,254 −100% | 10 |
| 617d | 235623451 | 35-40% | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,454 | +$126 +8.7% | 10 |
| 617d | 235623451 | <20% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,215 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 617d | 235623451 | >40% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,215 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 617d | Kapii2 fills | 30-35% | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $5,853 | −$5,853 −100% | 10 |
| 617d | 30-35% | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $6,123 | −$6,123 −100% | 10 |
This is a market on the percentage of votes the CDU/CSU will receive in the next German election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 25-30% means the market gives it about 100%.