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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magnus Carlsen | 100% | +26 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alireza Firouzja | 0% | −26 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arjun Erigaisi | 0% | −5 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fabiano Caruana | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hikaru Nakamura | 0% | −12 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ian Nepomniachtchi | 0% | −6 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jan-Krzysztof Duda | 0% | −4 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | 0% | −4 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vladimir Fedoseev | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vladislav Artemiev | 0% | +1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wei Yi | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Anish Giri | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Levon Aronian | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Javokhir Sindarov | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nihal Sarin | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrey Esipenko | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Player F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 448d |  NailsBleeding | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes>99¢ | $5,219 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 448d |  Smeargle3 fills | Alireza Firouzja | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,406 | +$94 +1.1% | 4 |
| 448d | Smeargle4 fills | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,800 | +$87 +1.1% | 4 |
| 448d | mollyaddict2 fills | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $7,925 | −$1,252 −16% | — |
| 448d | polygoner2 fills | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,632 | +$239 +9.1% | 5 |
| 448d |  Waterfall | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,914 | +$289 +9.9% | 6 |
| 448d |  Rustt5 fills | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $9,791 | +$1,287 +13% | 6 |
| 448d | polygoner | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,972 | −$126 −6.4% | — |
| 448d | TraderPeter | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,828 | +$159 +8.7% | 5 |
| 448d | cigarettes2 fills | Alireza Firouzja | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,389 | +$548 +23% | 7 |
| 448d | wokerjoesleeper | Alireza Firouzja | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,424 | +$300 +12% | 6 |
| 448d | mollyaddict3 fills | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $5,451 | +$3,017 +55% | 6 |
| 448d | interstellaar | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,408 | −$469 −33% | — |
| 448d | oliman0 | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,328 | −$419 −32% | — |
| 448d | polymax | Alireza Firouzja | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 9 |
| 448d | BarakWis | Alireza Firouzja | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$500 +33% | 8 |
| 449d |  formernorrisfan | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,258 | +$442 +35% | 8 |
| 449d | iamgone | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,120 | +$32 +0.2% | 4 |
| 449d | Smeargle3 fills | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,600 | +$100 +2.2% | 4 |
| 449d |  catasus | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,672 | +$75 +1.3% | 4 |
| 449d |  RelaySucks2 fills | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $3,829 | +$735 +19% | 7 |
| 449d | Smeargle | Hikaru Nakamura | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,274 | −$133 −10% | — |
| 449d | Waterfall412 | Levon Aronian | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,193 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 449d | iamgone2 fills | Nodirbek Abdusattorov | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $19,848 | +$361 +1.8% | 4 |
| 449d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | Nodirbek Abdusattorov | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,249 | +$17 +1.3% | 4 |
| 449d | S-Works | Ian Nepomniachtchi | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,585 | +$15 +0.1% | 4 |
| 449d |  LEONIDOVITCH1983 | Arjun Erigaisi | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,206 | +$44 +3.6% | 5 |
| 449d | jinsanity | Nihal Sarin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,178 | +$44 +2.0% | 4 |
| 450d | jinsanity | Nodirbek Abdusattorov | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,173 | +$49 +2.2% | 4 |
| 450d | iamgone2 fills | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,835 | +$52 +1.3% | 4 |
| 450d | iamgone | Wei Yi | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,050 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 450d | Waterfall4124 fills | Wei Yi | BuyNo>99¢ | $35,149 | +$38 +0.1% | 4 |
| 450d | formernorrisfan | Wei Yi | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,550 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 450d | RelaySucks | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | +$25 +2.0% | 4 |
| 450d | formernorrisfan2 fills | Vladislav Artemiev | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,245 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 450d | Waterfall412 | Vladislav Artemiev | BuyNo>99¢ | $31,035 | +$31 +0.1% | 4 |
| 450d | iamgone | Vladislav Artemiev | BuyNo>99¢ | $39,960 | +$40 +0.1% | 4 |
| 452d | Waterfall412 | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $12,128 | +$2,186 +18% | 5 |
| 452d | Waterfall4122 fills | Vladimir Fedoseev | BuyNo>99¢ | $65,120 | +$299 +0.5% | 4 |
| 452d |  Tor97 | Jan-Krzysztof Duda | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,626 | −$129 −4.9% | — |
| 452d | Tor97 | Arjun Erigaisi | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,433 | −$57 −4.0% | — |
| 452d | Tor97 | Vladislav Artemiev | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,837 | −$39 −2.1% | — |
| 452d | Tor97 | Nodirbek Abdusattorov | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,240 | −$84 −3.8% | — |
| 452d | Tor97 | Fabiano Caruana | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,640 | −$286 −11% | — |
| 452d | Tor97 | Nodirbek Abdusattorov | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | +$33 +2.9% | 4 |
| 453d | aki✨ | Magnus Carlsen | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $2,009 | −$2,009 −100% | 6 |
| 454d | Tor97 | Jan-Krzysztof Duda | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,938 | +$62 +3.2% | 4 |
| 454d | Waterfall412 | Arjun Erigaisi | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,928 | +$72 +2.5% | 4 |
| 454d | Waterfall412 | Ian Nepomniachtchi | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,884 | +$116 +6.2% | 4 |
| 454d | Waterfall412 | Jan-Krzysztof Duda | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,821 | +$154 +3.2% | 4 |
| 454d | Waterfall412 | Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,876 | +$124 +3.2% | 4 |
| 455d | iamgone | Magnus Carlsen | SellNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,745 | +$1,745 +100% | — |
| 457d | Tor97 | Vladislav Artemiev | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | +$19 +1.8% | 4 |
| 458d | .00o0 | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $1,243 | +$1,103 +89% | 4 |
This is a polymarket on predicting the winner of the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup tournament.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Magnus Carlsen means the market gives it about 100%.