| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 24,196 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $19,744 | +$517 +2.7% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 21,473 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $16,427 | −$258 −1.5% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 12,853 | 69¢ → 94¢ | $12,017 | +$3,168 +36% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 24,842 | 21¢ → 24¢ | $5,838 | +$534 +10% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | No | 7,447 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $5,623 | +$57 +1.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | No | 6,946 | 80¢ → 80¢ | $5,522 | −$47 −0.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 2d | No | 7,331 | 67¢ → 70¢ | $5,095 | +$205 +4.2% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 1d | No | 6,038 | 69¢ → 70¢ | $4,197 | +$13 +0.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | No | 6,933 | 61¢ → 59¢ | $4,056 | −$207 −4.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 2d | No | 4,229 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $3,954 | +$83 +2.1% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 2d | No | 5,968 | 70¢ → 65¢ | $3,849 | −$339 −8.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 15,416 | 24¢ → 23¢ | $3,592 | −$55 −1.5% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5,256 | 59¢ → 66¢ | $3,474 | +$387 +13% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | No | 10,206 | 33¢ → 33¢ | $3,317 | −$53 −1.6% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d | No | 3,617 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $3,057 | −$86 −2.7% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | No | 3,401 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $2,976 | +$1 +0.0% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,988 | 36¢ → 96¢ | $2,882 | +$1,817 +171% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 3,101 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $2,869 | +$47 +1.7% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 4,070 | 70¢ → 70¢ | $2,829 | −$20 −0.7% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,889 | 73¢ → 97¢ | $2,789 | +$672 +32% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,660 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $2,627 | +$223 +9.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | No | 3,280 | 60¢ → 77¢ | $2,526 | +$550 +28% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2,524 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $2,234 | +$13 +0.6% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1165d | No | 2,730 | 82¢ → 81¢ | $2,211 | −$17 −0.8% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,411 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $2,145 | −$35 −1.6% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 525d | No | 2,415 | 80¢ → 84¢ | $2,036 | +$112 +5.8% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 1,996 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $1,952 | +$12 +0.6% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 1,940 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $1,869 | +$318 +20% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 2,756 | 65¢ → 67¢ | $1,832 | +$46 +2.6% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 3,640 | 52¢ → 49¢ | $1,791 | −$90 −4.8% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2,301 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $1,760 | −$78 −4.3% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 8,563 | 24¢ → 21¢ | $1,755 | −$279 −14% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 2,395 | 67¢ → 69¢ | $1,640 | +$27 +1.7% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 2d | No | 4,514 | 31¢ → 35¢ | $1,580 | +$190 +14% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 1,613 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $1,578 | −$16 −1.0% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,928 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $1,532 | +$12 +0.8% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 3,590 | 46¢ → 41¢ | $1,454 | −$192 −12% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 1,794 | 85¢ → 81¢ | $1,444 | −$87 −5.7% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 21,348 | 36¢ → 7¢ | $1,388 | −$6,360 −82% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 1,386 | 42¢ → 98¢ | $1,352 | +$770 +132% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 4,915 | 30¢ → 27¢ | $1,307 | −$181 −12% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,711 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $1,275 | +$9 +0.7% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 1,496 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $1,272 | $0 0.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 1,715 | 74¢ → 74¢ | $1,261 | −$10 −0.8% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 1,448 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $1,238 | +$7 +0.6% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 5,991 | 21¢ → 20¢ | $1,201 | −$43 −3.4% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 4,071 | 28¢ → 30¢ | $1,201 | +$43 +3.7% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 1d | No | 1,480 | 63¢ → 79¢ | $1,162 | +$231 +25% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 5,762 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $1,124 | +$22 +2.0% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,157 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $1,082 | +$0 +0.0% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 1,275 | 78¢ → 84¢ | $1,073 | +$81 +8.2% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 1,477 | 74¢ → 72¢ | $1,056 | −$33 −3.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | No | 3,724 | 25¢ → 28¢ | $1,024 | +$87 +9.3% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,483 | 65¢ → 69¢ | $1,022 | +$55 +5.7% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 1,096 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $981 | −$27 −2.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,049 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $923 | −$5 −0.5% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 1,092 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $901 | +$11 +1.3% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,675 | 48¢ → 54¢ | $896 | +$89 +11% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 2,715 | 35¢ → 33¢ | $882 | −$72 −7.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,068 | 77¢ → 83¢ | $881 | +$55 +6.7% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 902 | 80¢ → 98¢ | $880 | +$162 +23% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 907 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $871 | +$21 +2.4% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 1,096 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $868 | −$11 −1.3% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 952 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $843 | +$28 +3.4% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,384 | 61¢ → 60¢ | $823 | −$19 −2.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,104 | 68¢ → 72¢ | $790 | +$38 +5.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 2,337 | 35¢ → 34¢ | $783 | −$45 −5.4% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 96d | No | 1,073 | 67¢ → 71¢ | $756 | +$36 +5.0% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | No | 939 | 84¢ → 80¢ | $755 | −$34 −4.3% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 978 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $734 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | No | 1,240 | 49¢ → 56¢ | $701 | +$93 +15% |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Ends in 525d | No | 712 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $694 | +$30 +4.4% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 704 | 59¢ → 97¢ | $679 | +$266 +64% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 1d | No | 2,227 | 31¢ → 31¢ | $679 | −$4 −0.7% |
| Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 693 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $676 | +$40 +6.3% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?Ends in 1d | No | 1,558 | 52¢ → 41¢ | $639 | −$176 −22% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 96d | No | 1,891 | 39¢ → 33¢ | $615 | −$118 −16% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,020 | 81¢ → 60¢ | $607 | −$217 −26% |
| House favorite on November 2 wins the election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 647 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $605 | +$3 +0.5% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?Ends in 1d | No | 605 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $583 | +$22 +4.0% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 558 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $541 | +$27 +5.3% |
| Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Ends in 159d | No | 721 | 84¢ → 74¢ | $533 | −$70 −12% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 9,499 | 19¢ → 6¢ | $522 | −$1,305 −71% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 5d | No | 3,153 | 19¢ → 17¢ | $520 | −$73 −12% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 1,704 | 30¢ → 31¢ | $520 | +$15 +2.9% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d | No | 1,701 | 31¢ → 30¢ | $511 | −$14 −2.6% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 366d | No | 944 | 52¢ → 54¢ | $505 | +$19 +3.9% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1165d | No | 675 | 80¢ → 73¢ | $493 | −$46 −8.6% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 65¢ → 96¢ | $482 | +$157 +48% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 525d | No | 2,489 | 22¢ → 19¢ | $460 | −$89 −16% |
| Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 366d | No | 523 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $460 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?Ends in 250d | No | 558 | 84¢ → 81¢ | $452 | −$15 −3.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 939 | 51¢ → 48¢ | $446 | −$30 −6.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 460 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $445 | +$68 +18% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 463 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $442 | +$90 +26% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,480 | 35¢ → 30¢ | $440 | −$74 −14% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 11d | No | 1,722 | 28¢ → 26¢ | $439 | −$39 −8.2% |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 452 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $432 | +$77 +22% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 515 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $430 | +$13 +3.1% |
| Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | No | 525 | 72¢ → 81¢ | $423 | +$43 +11% |
