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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d |  Oompa-Loompa | December 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,648 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 357d |  0x547889b207c980f660774D06CD5Ca144377A0142 fills | December 31 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,312 | −$101 −4.4% | — |
| 386d | HuskyRRRRR | December 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,327 | +$122 +5.3% | 20 |
| 480d | LBZone4 fills | June 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,079 | +$31 +0.3% | 20 |
| 486d | miamimimi | June 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,617 | +$10 +0.6% | 20 |
| 603d | Faeloria | December 31 | SellYes13¢ → 0¢ | $9,088 | +$9,088 +100% | — |
| 603d | SolVianis | December 31 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $61,516 | +$8,389 +14% | 20 |
| 625d | xcnstrategy2 fills | June 30 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,479 | +$187 +7.5% | 20 |
dsytfg287 shares
ALEX.D6 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Philippines between January 29, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Philippine military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) is not. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 0%.