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Polymarket wallet 0xd04ba7d3d2343ff4f88a6653e4c5c741e13a2be6 · on Polymarket since Feb 7, 2025 · also shown as Ugly-Deliberation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in February 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 134 | 37¢ → 100¢ | $134 | +$84 +170% |
| China x Philippines military clash by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 89¢ → 100¢ | $16 | +$2 +12% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $14 | +$2 +14% |
| X allowed to operate in China before May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $8 | +$0 +2.9% |
| China x India military clash by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $7 | +$1 +20% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.35-1.39ºC in February 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 976 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in February 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,596 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$484 −100% |
| Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,213 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$488 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.