Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danaïde by Brancusi $95M+ | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Tête de femme by Picasso $47M+ | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Number 7A by Pollock $125M+ | 100% | +17 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Grey Target by Johns $30M+ | 0% | −81 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 158d | Tête de femme by Picasso $47M+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,698 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 158d | Danaïde by Brancusi $95M+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,840 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 158d | Grey Target by Johns $30M+ | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,369 | +$248 +18% | 4 | |
| 158d | Danaïde by Brancusi $95M+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
This market refers to Christie's "Masterpieces: The Private Collection of S.I. Newhouse | Evening Auction" scheduled for 18 May 2026 at 18:30 EST in New York (see: https://www.christies.com/en/auction/masterpieces-the-private-collection-of-s-i-newhouse-31380/). This market resolves "Yes" if the Price Realized for the lot is greater than or equal to the strike price. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Price Realized refers to the hammer price plus buyer's premium and any applicable fees, as published by Christie's. If Christie's does not publish a Price Realized or the piece is not otherwise old by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The market will resolve based on the first published price at market listing and will not change due to estimate revisions or catalogue errata. Irrevocable bids and guarantees (house or third-party) do not affect resolution — the market resolves on the official Price Realized regardless. Data is provided by Masterworks. Learn to invest in $1mm+ paintings by Banksy, Basquiat, and Picasso. Contemporary art has outpaced the S&P 500 since 1995. Click here to learn more: http://masterworks.com/?utm_source=Polymarket
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Danaïde by Brancusi $95M+ means the market gives it about 100%.