Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Binface 20–30% | 100% | +65 pts | +64 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 249d |
| Binface <10% | 0% | −8 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Binface 10–20% | 0% | −47 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 249d |
| Binface 30–40% | 0% | −5 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Binface 40%+ | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71d | Test669 | Binface 20–30% | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,491 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 71d |  Flipadelphia | Binface 10–20% | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,734 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 71d |  probability2 fills | Binface 10–20% | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $6,550 | +$893 +14% | 10 |
| 71d |  Hakei. | Binface 10–20% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,968 | +$7 +0.2% | 10 |
| 71d | Hakei. | Binface 30–40% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,738 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 71d | Flipadelphia | Binface 20–30% | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,867 | +$141 +4.9% | 10 |
| 71d | Flipadelphia | Binface 20–30% | SellNo72¢ → 0¢ | $2,174 | +$2,174 +100% | — |
| 71d |  Parz1vaI | Binface 20–30% | SellNo81¢ → 0¢ | $2,243 | +$2,243 +100% | — |
| 71d | whydoineedtodothis | Binface 30–40% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | +$27 +2.4% | 10 |
| 71d | whydoineedtodothis | Binface 20–30% | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $2,379 | −$2,379 −100% | 10 |
| 71d |  seal7 | Binface 20–30% | BuyYes30¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | +$2,726 +237% | 11 |
| 72d | LeRoiSoleil2 fills | Binface 20–30% | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $4,750 | −$4,750 −100% | 10 |
| 72d | 0x77266604E63f5cAF08D19CaEBae0C563ce064aE | Binface 20–30% | BuyYes38¢ → 100¢ | $1,265 | +$2,032 +161% | 11 |
| 72d | Parz1vaI | Binface 30–40% | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,653 | +$98 +5.9% | 12 |
| 74d | KiernanMeister | Binface 30–40% | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,787 | +$349 +7.3% | 11 |
| 75d |  loafy | Binface <10% | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | −$127 −12% | — |
| 75d | flawfence | Binface 30–40% | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,359 | +$180 +5.3% | 10 |
| 76d | flawfence | Binface 40%+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,588 | +$41 +2.6% | 10 |
| 76d | Parz1vaI | Binface 40%+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,675 | +$51 +3.1% | 10 |
| 76d | Parz1vaI2 fills | Binface 20–30% | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $2,364 | −$2,364 −100% | 10 |
| 80d | SlavaUkraini3 fills | Binface <10% | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $25,435 | +$3,551 +14% | 10 |
| 80d |  Valen9 | Binface <10% | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | +$113 +11% | 10 |
| 82d |  theta-thunberg | Binface <10% | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,098 | +$460 +22% | 10 |
| 83d | LeRoiSoleil3 fills | Binface 10–20% | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $5,034 | −$5,034 −100% | 13 |
| 84d | LeRoiSoleil | Binface 20–30% | SellNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,824 | +$1,824 +100% | — |
| 92d | probability | Binface <10% | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,585 | +$1,160 +45% | 10 |
| 95d | LeRoiSoleil | Binface <10% | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $2,310 | −$2,310 −100% | 13 |
| 96d |  ProfessionalPunter | Binface 20–30% | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $3,489 | −$3,489 −100% | 10 |
| 103d |  bernardbulletin | Binface 10–20% | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,747 | +$1,037 +59% | 10 |
| 103d | bernardbulletin | Binface 40%+ | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,141 | +$109 +9.5% | 10 |
| 106d | bernardbulletin | Binface 30–40% | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$217 +16% | 10 |
tetrominos122 sharesProfessionalPunter4,210 shares
BiDiFakePolls1,384 sharesA by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Binface 20–30% means the market gives it about 100%.