| Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Ends in 227d | No | 9,670 | 75¢ → 94¢ | $9,070 | +$1,774 +24% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20,991 | 38¢ → 43¢ | $8,921 | +$886 +11% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 70d | No | 14,819 | 70¢ → 59¢ | $8,721 | −$1,690 −16% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 8,892 | 65¢ → 96¢ | $8,563 | +$2,771 +48% |
| Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Ends in 13d | No | 8,260 | 48¢ → 95¢ | $7,805 | +$3,816 +96% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 70d | Yes | 41,001 | 20¢ → 18¢ | $7,565 | −$446 −5.6% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 17,807 | 30¢ → 38¢ | $6,767 | +$1,412 +26% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 8,171 | 13¢ → 74¢ | $6,047 | +$4,984 +469% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 7,541 | 29¢ → 77¢ | $5,807 | +$3,648 +169% |
| Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Ends ended | Yes | 5,434 | 64¢ → 89¢ | $4,836 | +$1,376 +40% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 4,626 | 21¢ → 98¢ | $4,533 | +$3,562 +367% |
| Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Ends ended | Yes | 4,068 | 47¢ → 92¢ | $3,756 | +$1,845 +97% |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | Yes | 3,541 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $3,356 | +$304 +10.0% |
| Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Ends ended | Yes | 3,737 | 72¢ → 85¢ | $3,160 | +$457 +17% |
| Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 3,138 | 2¢ → 99¢ | $3,114 | +$3,044 +4366% |
| Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?Ends in 13d | No | 3,246 | 66¢ → 96¢ | $3,101 | +$971 +46% |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Ends in 70d | No | 3,449 | 73¢ → 83¢ | $2,862 | +$347 +14% |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Ends in 801d | Yes | 4,734 | 2¢ → 53¢ | $2,486 | +$2,413 +3324% |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 37d | Yes | 7,618 | 15¢ → 32¢ | $2,442 | +$1,304 +115% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 155,406 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $2,409 | +$20 +0.8% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 123,190 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $2,402 | +$549 +30% |
| Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?Ends in 2d | No | 2,884 | 69¢ → 82¢ | $2,364 | +$385 +19% |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 251d | No | 9,000 | 45¢ → 26¢ | $2,295 | −$1,755 −43% |
| Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 3,382 | 43¢ → 66¢ | $2,215 | +$776 +54% |
| Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Ends in 160d | Yes | 2,808 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $2,151 | −$22 −1.0% |
| Will Aida Hadžialić be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?Ends ended | Yes | 2,167 | 86¢ → 99¢ | $2,143 | +$284 +15% |
| Will David West win the 2026 Richmond Hill mayoral election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 2,192 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $2,131 | +$61 +2.9% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 2,036 | 24¢ → 98¢ | $1,987 | +$1,502 +310% |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?Ends in 20d | No | 3,172 | 49¢ → 63¢ | $1,983 | +$439 +28% |
| Will Jimmy Ekström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Ends ended | No | 1,991 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $1,936 | −$12 −0.6% |
| Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 2,283 | 55¢ → 84¢ | $1,906 | +$645 +51% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 3,025 | 31¢ → 63¢ | $1,906 | +$981 +106% |
| Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Ends in 107d | Yes | 2,836 | 60¢ → 67¢ | $1,886 | +$171 +10.0% |
| Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 16d | No | 1,952 | 0¢ → 96¢ | $1,867 | +$1,867 +0.0% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 251d | No | 3,238 | 53¢ → 56¢ | $1,829 | +$117 +6.8% |
| Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 1,830 | 86¢ → 99¢ | $1,812 | +$231 +15% |
| Will Cyril Xaba be the next mayor of eThekwini?Ends in 13d | No | 1,869 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $1,805 | +$293 +19% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 39d | Yes | 1,776 | 79¢ → 99¢ | $1,756 | +$357 +26% |
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 3,158 | 29¢ → 56¢ | $1,753 | +$823 +89% |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 2,136 | 45¢ → 82¢ | $1,751 | +$794 +83% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 100,000 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $1,750 | −$800 −31% |
| Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?Ends in 227d | Yes | 2,485 | 21¢ → 70¢ | $1,748 | +$1,238 +242% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 1,990 | 28¢ → 88¢ | $1,741 | +$1,194 +218% |
| Will Jonny Lundin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?Ends ended | No | 1,764 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $1,727 | +$81 +4.9% |
| Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Ends in 227d | Yes | 1,931 | 11¢ → 88¢ | $1,706 | +$1,501 +732% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,753 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $1,693 | +$112 +7.1% |
| Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Ends in 160d | Yes | 4,503 | 1¢ → 38¢ | $1,689 | +$1,634 +2975% |
| Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?Ends ended | Yes | 1,714 | 68¢ → 98¢ | $1,675 | +$507 +43% |
| Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 2,425 | 22¢ → 69¢ | $1,673 | +$1,139 +213% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 2,317 | 71¢ → 71¢ | $1,633 | −$18 −1.1% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 48,741 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $1,633 | +$732 +81% |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,993 | 27¢ → 55¢ | $1,633 | +$826 +103% |
| Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?Ends in 4d | No | 2,702 | 69¢ → 60¢ | $1,632 | −$219 −12% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 9,140 | 11¢ → 18¢ | $1,618 | +$634 +64% |
| Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,051 | 38¢ → 79¢ | $1,610 | +$824 +105% |
| Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Ends in 107d | No | 1,699 | 59¢ → 93¢ | $1,584 | +$578 +58% |
| Will SB Energy not IPO before January 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,664 | 52¢ → 95¢ | $1,582 | +$725 +85% |
| Will Nicklas Sandström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Ends ended | No | 1,601 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $1,577 | +$133 +9.2% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 4,618 | 17¢ → 34¢ | $1,565 | +$776 +98% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 1,748 | 30¢ → 89¢ | $1,562 | +$1,037 +197% |
| SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 1,590 | 31¢ → 96¢ | $1,519 | +$1,029 +210% |
| Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 1,558 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $1,495 | +$165 +12% |
| Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 251d | No | 3,165 | 62¢ → 47¢ | $1,488 | −$481 −24% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 101,626 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1,474 | +$448 +44% |
| Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?Ends ended | Yes | 4,145 | 19¢ → 35¢ | $1,455 | +$665 +84% |
| Will Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Ends in 14h | Yes | 1,450 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $1,434 | +$140 +11% |
| Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Ends in 227d | Yes | 2,000 | 52¢ → 72¢ | $1,430 | +$390 +38% |
| Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Ends in 37d | No | 10,646 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $1,384 | +$192 +16% |
| Will Jay Z perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?Ends in 160d | Yes | 1,494 | 64¢ → 90¢ | $1,339 | +$378 +39% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 160d | Yes | 10,976 | 12¢ → 12¢ | $1,317 | +$26 +2.0% |
| Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 2,139 | 30¢ → 62¢ | $1,315 | +$676 +106% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 2,715 | 16¢ → 48¢ | $1,303 | +$869 +200% |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | Yes | 3,643 | 17¢ → 35¢ | $1,275 | +$670 +111% |
| Will Harry Styles perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?Ends in 160d | No | 1,308 | 74¢ → 98¢ | $1,275 | +$312 +32% |
| Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 12d | No | 1,455 | 56¢ → 87¢ | $1,266 | +$457 +57% |
| Will Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 1,317 | 2¢ → 95¢ | $1,245 | +$1,215 +3966% |
| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 160d | Yes | 1,361 | 42¢ → 91¢ | $1,233 | +$662 +116% |
| Will Tradeweb (TW) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 6d | No | 1,808 | 28¢ → 68¢ | $1,230 | +$719 +141% |
| Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Ends ended | No | 1,329 | 48¢ → 93¢ | $1,229 | +$596 +94% |
| Will Volker Kromm win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?Ends in 4d | No | 1,272 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $1,211 | +$196 +19% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Ends in 90d | Yes | 2,422 | 24¢ → 49¢ | $1,185 | +$600 +103% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 435d | Yes | 5,930 | 7¢ → 20¢ | $1,180 | +$773 +190% |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 1,420 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $1,157 | +$2 +0.2% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 1,308 | 2¢ → 88¢ | $1,153 | +$1,126 +4219% |
| Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Ends in 227d | No | 1,197 | 51¢ → 95¢ | $1,141 | +$532 +87% |
| Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,184 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $1,141 | +$187 +20% |
| Will the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,146 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $1,101 | +$7 +0.6% |
| Will Linda Frohm be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?Ends ended | No | 1,132 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,096 | +$24 +2.3% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,119 | 51¢ → 98¢ | $1,094 | +$525 +92% |
| Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 2,260 | 19¢ → 48¢ | $1,085 | +$655 +152% |
| Will Morgan Wallen perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?Ends in 160d | No | 1,149 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $1,075 | +$125 +13% |
| Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?Ends ended | Yes | 1,126 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $1,063 | +$133 +14% |
| Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 1,109 | 75¢ → 94¢ | $1,042 | +$214 +26% |
| Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 2,602 | 16¢ → 40¢ | $1,041 | +$621 +148% |
| Will Sara Gunnarsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Ends ended | No | 1,134 | 97¢ → 91¢ | $1,037 | −$62 −5.6% |
| Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 1,039 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $1,010 | +$138 +16% |
| Will Garba Yakubu Lado win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?Ends in 107d | No | 1,151 | 0¢ → 88¢ | $1,007 | +$1,007 +0.0% |
| Will Parveen Bola win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?Ends in 4d | No | 1,002 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $998 | +$37 +3.8% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,270 | 58¢ → 79¢ | $997 | +$266 +36% |
| Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Ends ended | Yes | 1,045 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $995 | +$93 +10% |
