Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Centro Democrático (CD) | 100% | +4 pts | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) | 0% | −3 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Green Alliance (AV) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cambio Radical (CR) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Partido de la U (La U) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| MIRA-CJL coalition (MIRA-CJL) | 0% | −2 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Party A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 182d | ddolsw123r | Centro Democrático (CD) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$7 +0.6% | 10 |
| 212d | Naughty-Resemblance | Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,525 | +$46 +1.3% | 10 |
| 212d | Surprised-Copyright | Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,520 | +$46 +1.3% | 10 |
| 212d | Flustered-Parenthesis | Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,511 | +$46 +1.3% | 10 |
| 229d | Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) | SellYes64¢ → 0¢ | $1,368 | +$1,368 +100% | — | |
| 229d | Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,449 | +$1,084 +75% | 10 |
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Centro Democrático (CD) means the market gives it about 100%.