| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Ends in 73d | Yes | 568 | 39¢ → 33¢ | $190 | −$33 −15% |
| Will Ondřej Tichý be the next Mayor of Pardubice?Ends in 253d | Yes | 173 | 2¢ → 66¢ | $113 | +$111 +4264% |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 180 | 24¢ → 56¢ | $101 | +$58 +138% |
| Will Marek Zelenka be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Ends ended | Yes | 93 | 1¢ → 96¢ | $89 | +$88 +9294% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 4,987 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $75 | +$45 +150% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 2,642 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $62 | +$36 +135% |
| Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?Ends in 194d | Yes | 205 | 5¢ → 26¢ | $54 | +$43 +386% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Ends in 750d | Yes | 1,390 | 10¢ → 3¢ | $47 | −$99 −68% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 2,176 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $45 | +$23 +105% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 750d | Yes | 1,487 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $44 | +$10 +30% |
| Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?Ends in 40d | No | 943 | 11¢ → 5¢ | $42 | −$58 −58% |
| Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Ends in 162d | Yes | 766 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $39 | −$3 −7.7% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 750d | Yes | 1,260 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $35 | +$10 +39% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 1,306 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $35 | +$6 +20% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 254d | No | 529 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $33 | +$9 +37% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?Ends in 15d | No | 1,160 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $32 | −$4 −9.9% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 15d | Yes | 1,274 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $32 | −$17 −34% |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?Ends in 24d | Yes | 48 | 29¢ → 64¢ | $31 | +$17 +121% |
| Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Ends in 803d | Yes | 376 | 8¢ → 8¢ | $30 | +$2 +7.1% |
| Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 370d | Yes | 817 | <1¢ → 4¢ | $29 | +$27 +1650% |
| Will Manuel Cota Cárdenas win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?Ends in 230d | No | 49 | 25¢ → 58¢ | $29 | +$16 +131% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 750d | Yes | 1,365 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $28 | +$7 +34% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 750d | Yes | 1,260 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $23 | +$7 +42% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 750d | Yes | 2,732 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $23 | −$1 −5.6% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 1,582 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $23 | −$2 −8.9% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 1,161 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $23 | +$4 +21% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 750d | Yes | 249 | 13¢ → 9¢ | $23 | −$9 −29% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 1,095 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $22 | +$3 +15% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 1,221 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $20 | −$4 −18% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 750d | Yes | 1,363 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $20 | +$5 +30% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 750d | Yes | 2,067 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $20 | +$1 +5.6% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 1,880 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $19 | −$2 −9.1% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat?Ends in 15d | Yes | 976 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $19 | −$24 −56% |
| Will Manuel Cota Cárdenas win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?Ends in 230d | Yes | 44 | 5¢ → 42¢ | $18 | +$16 +799% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Ends in 73d | Yes | 1,476 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $18 | −$34 −65% |
| Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 180d | Yes | 186 | 12¢ → 10¢ | $18 | −$4 −17% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 1,786 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $18 | +$2 +16% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 750d | Yes | 1,065 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $18 | −$6 −24% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 704 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $17 | −$1 −2.8% |
| Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 1,033 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $17 | −$22 −56% |
| Will Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Ends in 40d | Yes | 76 | 12¢ → 22¢ | $17 | +$8 +90% |
| Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?Ends in 15d | No | 264 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $17 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 4,441 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $16 | −$21 −57% |
| Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 180d | Yes | 265 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $15 | −$3 −15% |
| Will four or more people dissent the January Fed decision?Ends in 100d | Yes | 411 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $15 | −$9 −37% |
| Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 280 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $15 | +$5 +56% |
| Will Rafael Jodar Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 30¢ → 73¢ | $15 | +$9 +141% |
| Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election?Ends in 40d | Yes | 50 | 9¢ → 29¢ | $14 | +$10 +218% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?Ends in 438d | Yes | 100 | <1¢ → 14¢ | $14 | +$14 +7054% |
| Will Bloomberg IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 414 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $14 | −$0 −2.0% |
| Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 142 | 6¢ → 10¢ | $14 | +$5 +63% |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?Ends in 10d | Yes | 231 | <1¢ → 6¢ | $13 | +$13 +1295% |
| Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 28d | Yes | 184 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $13 | −$5 −26% |
| Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 254d | Yes | 171 | 9¢ → 8¢ | $13 | −$2 −15% |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 522 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $13 | −$10 −43% |
| Will Max Holloway fight Justin Gaethje next?Ends in 265d | Yes | 87 | 9¢ → 14¢ | $13 | +$5 +61% |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 181d | Yes | 1,457 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $12 | −$4 −23% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 260 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $12 | +$4 +53% |
| Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 66 | 10¢ → 18¢ | $12 | +$5 +81% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 168 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $12 | −$1 −7.2% |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 4,600 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $12 | −$34 −75% |
| Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Ends in 230d | No | 96 | 45¢ → 12¢ | $11 | −$32 −74% |
| Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 1,005 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $11 | −$19 −64% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 525 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $11 | −$19 −64% |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 3,049 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $11 | −$21 −66% |
| Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 370d | Yes | 762 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $11 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 750d | Yes | 3,036 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $11 | −$20 −65% |
| Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 911 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $10 | −$3 −23% |
| Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Ends in 651d | Yes | 199 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $10 | +$5 +100% |
| Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 180d | Yes | 151 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $10 | −$5 −32% |
| Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 180d | Yes | 189 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.6% |
| Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 370d | Yes | 87 | 7¢ → 12¢ | $10 | +$4 +66% |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1900.00 and 1999.99 at the end of December 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 257 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $10 | +$4 +69% |
| Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 180d | Yes | 194 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $10 | −$3 −26% |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?Ends in 15d | No | 430 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $10 | −$5 −35% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 1,957 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $9 | −$1 −11% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 750d | Yes | 1,584 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $9 | −$6 −39% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 1,580 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $9 | −$4 −31% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 2,684 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$13 −63% |
| Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Ends in 230d | Yes | 55 | 4¢ → 15¢ | $8 | +$6 +283% |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 5,328 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $8 | −$29 −79% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Ends in 437d | Yes | 230 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $8 | −$4 −33% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 268 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $8 | −$8 −51% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 750d | Yes | 1,415 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $8 | −$7 −48% |
| Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 506 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $8 | −$9 −54% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 937 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $7 | −$9 −56% |
| Will St. Louis Blues be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?Ends in 254d | Yes | 187 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $7 | +$2 +30% |
| Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 181d | Yes | 186 | 12¢ → 4¢ | $7 | −$15 −68% |
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 181d | Yes | 1,095 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $7 | −$3 −30% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 607 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $7 | −$5 −39% |
| Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,675 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$23 −77% |
| Will Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi be the next mayor of eThekwini?Ends in 16d | Yes | 122 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $7 | +$1 +28% |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 4,390 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$31 −82% |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 2,620 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$18 −74% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 860 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $6 | −$9 −57% |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 750d | Yes | 1,807 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $6 | −$8 −55% |
| Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 370d | Yes | 1,570 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $6 | +$0 +8.1% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 750d | Yes | 4,164 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $6 | −$34 −85% |
| Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026?Ends in 104d | Yes | 320 | <1¢ → 2¢ | $6 | +$5 +551% |
| Will David Makhura be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 28d | Yes | 25 | 1¢ → 25¢ | $6 | +$6 +1865% |
