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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacto Histórico (PH) | 100% | +3 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC) | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alianza Verde / Coalición Centro Esperanza (AV/CCE) | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Centro Democrático (CD) | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cambio Radical (CR) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Partido de la U – Partido de la Unión por la Gente (U) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Comunes (COM) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Colombia Justa Libres – MIRA (CJL/MIRA) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Movimiento Alternativo Indígena y Social (MAIS) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Autoridades Indígenas de Colombia (AICO) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liga de Gobernantes Anticorrupción (LIGA) | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Salvación Nacional | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Party B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 228d | winl | Pacto Histórico (PH) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,475 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 228d | Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,348 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 228d | Pacto Histórico (PH) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,719 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 228d | Pacto Histórico (PH) | SellYes>99¢ | $5,323 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 228d | Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,067 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 228d | Pacto Histórico (PH) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,892 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 228d | Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC) | SellNo>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 228d | Pacto Histórico (PH) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,432 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 228d | Pacto Histórico (PH) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,179 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 229d | Centro Democrático (CD) | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,060 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 229d | Pacto Histórico (PH) | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,585 | +$23 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 229d | influenz.eth3 fills | Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,840 | +$9 +0.2% | 10 |
| 229d | influenz.eth3 fills | Centro Democrático (CD) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,797 | +$53 +1.1% | 10 |
| 229d | influenz.eth3 fills | Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC) | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,842 | +$8 +0.2% | 10 |
| 229d | Pacto Histórico (PH) | SellYes100¢ | $3,316 | −$17 −0.5% | — | |
| 229d | utawas | Pacto Histórico (PH) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$17 +0.6% | 10 |
| 229d | Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC) | BuyNo>99¢ | $36,235 | +$155 +0.4% | 10 | |
| 229d | Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) | BuyNo>99¢ | $31,260 | +$93 +0.3% | 10 | |
| 229d | Pacto Histórico (PH) | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,847 | +$148 +3.9% | 10 | |
| 229d | influenz.eth | Alianza Verde / Coalición Centro Esperanza (AV/CCE) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,493 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 229d | lifeasjer | Pacto Histórico (PH) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,514 | +$114 +3.2% | 10 |
| 229d | 0xc4ca…3df3 | Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,104 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 229d | 0xc4ca…3df3 | Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,104 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 230d | OLOTH2 fills | Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,701 | +$33 +0.2% | 10 |
| 230d | Pacto Histórico (PH) | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,465 | +$79 +5.4% | 11 | |
| 230d | Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC) | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,563 | +$17 +0.3% | 10 | |
| 230d | Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,645 | +$5 +0.3% | 10 | |
| 230d | Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,065 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 | |
| 230d | Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,345 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 | |
| 231d | Alianza Verde / Coalición Centro Esperanza (AV/CCE) | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 231d | wtfdoublecaptome | Salvación Nacional | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 232d | Salvación Nacional | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,286 | +$67 +0.4% | 10 | |
| 232d | Comunes (COM) | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 232d | Liga de Gobernantes Anticorrupción (LIGA) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,421 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 233d | coco0406782 fills | Pacto Histórico (PH) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,526 | +$196 +3.0% | 10 |
| 233d | Pacto Histórico (PH) | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,562 | +$200 +4.4% | 10 | |
| 238d | Centro Democrático (CD) | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,631 | +$104 +6.4% | 10 | |
| 238d | Pacto Histórico (PH) | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $6,988 | +$691 +9.9% | 10 | |
| 240d | Alianza Verde / Coalición Centro Esperanza (AV/CCE) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,665 | +$147 +1.4% | 10 | |
| 240d | Pacto Histórico (PH) | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | +$139 +12% | 10 | |
| 242d | Comunes (COM) | SellNo>99¢ | $4,823 | −$10 −0.2% | — | |
| 242d | Comunes (COM) | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,828 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 243d | Liga de Gobernantes Anticorrupción (LIGA) | SellNo>99¢ | $4,894 | −$10 −0.2% | — | |
| 243d | Liga de Gobernantes Anticorrupción (LIGA) | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,898 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 243d | winl | Pacto Histórico (PH) | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,180 | +$297 +14% | 10 |
| 247d | warlasfutpro | Pacto Histórico (PH) | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,244 | +$256 +11% | 10 |
| 251d | kerraaron | Cambio Radical (CR) | SellNo>99¢ | $2,374 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 251d | kerraaron | Cambio Radical (CR) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,377 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 252d | martinabigail | Liga de Gobernantes Anticorrupción (LIGA) | SellNo>99¢ | $2,522 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 252d | martinabigail | Liga de Gobernantes Anticorrupción (LIGA) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,525 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 256d | glbks8kbm8zxc | Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,475 | +$10 +0.4% | 10 |
| 256d | mwscl696iyn6l | Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,535 | +$10 +0.4% | 10 |
| 256d | duttn3yhkc81j | Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,540 | +$10 +0.4% | 10 |
| 256d | smlgndhvg7c73 | Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,539 | +$8 +0.3% | 10 |
| 256d | uupuuq7u82up6 | Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,530 | +$8 +0.3% | 10 |
| 261d | nedsta2 fills | Pacto Histórico (PH) | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,473 | +$510 +15% | 10 |
| 264d | elPolloLoco2 fills | Alianza Verde / Coalición Centro Esperanza (AV/CCE) | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $55,106 | −$2,837 −5.1% | — |
| 446d | Alianza Verde / Coalición Centro Esperanza (AV/CCE) | BuyYes3¢ → 0¢ | $1,380 | −$1,380 −100% | 12 |
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Senate. If voting in the Colombian Senate election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Pacto Histórico (PH) means the market gives it about 100%.