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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥2.9% | 100% | +23 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ≤2.6% | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2.7% | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2.8% | 0% | −19 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 641d | lineth | ≥2.9% | SellYes>99¢ | $3,793 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 641d |  noreasapa | 2.7% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,728 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 641d | noreasapa | ≤2.6% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,682 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 641d |  d1k21 | ≤2.6% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,659 | +$7 +0.2% | 10 |
| 641d | Isaak👴 | 2.7% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,451 | +$19 +1.3% | 10 |
| 641d |  KimJonEn3 fills | 2.7% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,455 | +$101 +1.9% | 10 |
| 641d | KimJonEn4 fills | ≤2.6% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,484 | +$74 +1.4% | 10 |
| 647d | cigarettes | ≤2.6% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | +$25 +2.0% | 10 |
| 647d | cigarettes | 2.7% | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | +$96 +8.2% | 11 |
| 647d | DumbMoney1 | ≤2.6% | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,528 | +$72 +4.7% | 10 |
| 649d |  Justifax | ≥2.9% | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,065 | −$1,065 −100% | 10 |
| 650d | KimJonEn | 2.7% | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,515 | −$141 −9.3% | — |
| 650d | Doggieson | ≥2.9% | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$349 +23% | 10 |
| 655d |  xoxoxololxo | ≤2.6% | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$89 +4.4% | 10 |
| 659d | PrinceHal3 fills | ≥2.9% | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $4,182 | +$2,476 +59% | 10 |
TimeTraveler1,000 shares
enochsmiles50 sharesThis is a negrisk market group over inflation figures for December 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ≥2.9% means the market gives it about 100%.