| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 20,241 | 51¢ → 88¢ | $17,711 | +$7,484 +73% |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Ends in 74d | No | 1,558 | 51¢ → 81¢ | $1,255 | +$461 +58% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 769 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $735 | +$89 +14% |
| Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 29d | No | 661 | 60¢ → 93¢ | $614 | +$215 +54% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 577 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $557 | +$78 +16% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 577 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $552 | +$90 +19% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 578 | 79¢ → 90¢ | $520 | +$64 +14% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 577 | 77¢ → 88¢ | $505 | +$61 +14% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 577 | 64¢ → 86¢ | $493 | +$127 +35% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 577 | 80¢ → 85¢ | $488 | +$26 +5.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 577 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $479 | +$6 +1.2% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 9d | No | 865 | 62¢ → 52¢ | $454 | −$79 −15% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 8d | Yes | 597 | 73¢ → 76¢ | $451 | +$17 +3.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 16d | No | 441 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $427 | +$71 +20% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 4, 11:59 PM?Ends in 17d | Yes | 465 | 24¢ → 86¢ | $400 | +$289 +261% |
| Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 577 | 69¢ → 67¢ | $384 | −$14 −3.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 384 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $370 | +$47 +15% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 384 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $369 | +$12 +3.4% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,162 | 11¢ → 15¢ | $324 | +$76 +31% |
| Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 255d | Yes | 385 | 57¢ → 81¢ | $312 | +$91 +42% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 447 | 68¢ → 65¢ | $289 | −$16 −5.1% |
| Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Ends in 16d | No | 311 | 69¢ → 88¢ | $274 | +$60 +28% |
| Plague case in US by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,477 | 14¢ → 8¢ | $261 | −$230 −47% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,572 | 28¢ → 14¢ | $228 | −$212 −48% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 219 | 50¢ → 95¢ | $207 | +$98 +90% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 238 | 25¢ → 87¢ | $206 | +$147 +249% |
| US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 205 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $190 | +$10 +5.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 192 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $185 | +$20 +12% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 192 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $181 | +$18 +11% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 192 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $178 | +$22 +14% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 192 | 80¢ → 92¢ | $177 | +$23 +15% |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 94d | No | 218 | 30¢ → 80¢ | $174 | +$109 +167% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 192 | 79¢ → 90¢ | $173 | +$21 +14% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 192 | 73¢ → 90¢ | $172 | +$32 +23% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 192 | 79¢ → 89¢ | $170 | +$18 +12% |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 478 | 50¢ → 33¢ | $158 | −$81 −34% |
| SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 171 | 81¢ → 90¢ | $154 | +$16 +11% |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 255d | Yes | 751 | 46¢ → 20¢ | $150 | −$193 −56% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 16d | No | 154 | 77¢ → 89¢ | $137 | +$19 +16% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 192 | 72¢ → 68¢ | $130 | −$9 −6.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 192 | 68¢ → 66¢ | $126 | −$5 −3.7% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 255d | No | 751 | 36¢ → 17¢ | $124 | −$146 −54% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 146d | No | 158 | 50¢ → 78¢ | $123 | +$44 +56% |
| Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 74d | No | 130 | 53¢ → 91¢ | $118 | +$49 +71% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 120 | 76¢ → 92¢ | $110 | +$19 +21% |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,370 | 17¢ → 8¢ | $105 | −$134 −56% |
| SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?Ends in 74d | Yes | 596 | 35¢ → 17¢ | $98 | −$109 −53% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-08 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 96 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $94 | +$9 +11% |
| U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 705 | 37¢ → 13¢ | $88 | −$175 −66% |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 433 | 35¢ → 20¢ | $87 | −$65 −43% |
| Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 96 | 80¢ → 90¢ | $86 | +$9 +12% |
| Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 85 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $84 | +$8 +11% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more?Ends in 16d | Yes | 154 | 25¢ → 50¢ | $77 | +$38 +97% |
| California voter ID referendum passes?Ends in 16d | Yes | 439 | 21¢ → 17¢ | $75 | −$17 −19% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 103 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $72 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 90 | 71¢ → 70¢ | $63 | −$1 −2.1% |
| Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 196 | 5¢ → 32¢ | $62 | +$53 +562% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 55 | 70¢ → 96¢ | $52 | +$14 +37% |
| Blue wave in 2026?Ends in 78d | No | 307 | 14¢ → 17¢ | $51 | +$6 +14% |
| Will Trump Airport become law this year?Ends in 74d | No | 49 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $48 | +$7 +17% |
| Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 29d | Yes | 89 | 43¢ → 52¢ | $46 | +$8 +21% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 65 | 67¢ → 68¢ | $44 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 255d | No | 288 | 13¢ → 15¢ | $43 | +$6 +16% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 248 | 10¢ → 17¢ | $42 | +$17 +70% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 74d | Yes | 263 | 29¢ → 16¢ | $41 | −$35 −46% |
| Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 255d | Yes | 145 | 26¢ → 27¢ | $39 | +$2 +5.5% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 6, 11:59 PM?Ends in 19d | Yes | 40 | 72¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$10 +34% |
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 384 | 31¢ → 10¢ | $38 | −$82 −68% |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 16d | No | 35 | 63¢ → >99¢ | $35 | +$13 +59% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 58¢ → 87¢ | $35 | +$12 +50% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 52 | 69¢ → 64¢ | $33 | −$3 −7.3% |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Ends in 74d | No | 3,408 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $32 | −$101 −76% |
| Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?Ends in 280d | No | 388 | 6¢ → 8¢ | $31 | +$9 +44% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Ends in 74d | Yes | 218 | 17¢ → 14¢ | $31 | −$7 −19% |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 407 | 23¢ → 7¢ | $30 | −$65 −69% |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 189 | 5¢ → 14¢ | $26 | +$16 +154% |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 36 | 53¢ → 65¢ | $23 | +$4 +21% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 7d | No | 105 | 52¢ → 12¢ | $13 | −$42 −77% |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 240 | 11¢ → 4¢ | $9 | −$17 −64% |
| Will there be between 105m and 110m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Ends in 16d | Yes | 107 | 1¢ → 8¢ | $9 | +$8 +1106% |
| FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 235 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $7 | −$7 −53% |
| RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 8 | 61¢ → 82¢ | $6 | +$2 +35% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 71 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $6 | −$1 −17% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be 650,000 or more?Ends in 16d | Yes | 61 | 2¢ → 9¢ | $6 | +$4 +309% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 8 | 70¢ → 61¢ | $5 | −$1 −13% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 98 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $4 | +$2 +90% |
| Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 209 | <1¢ → 2¢ | $3 | +$3 +400% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 57 | 23¢ → 6¢ | $3 | −$10 −76% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 31 | 52¢ → 7¢ | $2 | −$14 −87% |
| Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 73 | 17¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$12 −93% |
| Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 385 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$13 −99% |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 384 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −90% |
| Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,516 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$133 −100% |
| Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 118 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,342 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$206 −100% |
| Will "Beef" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 398 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during Bill Signing on December 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 69 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,763 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$257 −100% |
