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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 570d |  noreasapa2 fills | DeepSeek banned in US before April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,397 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 570d |  NOMOREGAMBLE | DeepSeek banned in US before April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,055 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 570d | fkuUMA | DeepSeek banned in US before April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,349 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 571d |  syncope | DeepSeek banned in US before April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,853 | +$11 +0.4% | 4 |
| 595d |  Wickier | DeepSeek banned in US before April? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | −$41 −4.1% | — |
| 598d | CrashOverride95 | DeepSeek banned in US before April? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | −$39 −3.9% | — |
| 598d |  KimJonEn | DeepSeek banned in US before April? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,166 | −$25 −2.1% | — |
| 604d |  SirHarryOakes | DeepSeek banned in US before April? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,649 | +$79 +3.0% | 4 |
| 612d | diminish2 fills | DeepSeek banned in US before April? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,975 | −$123 −4.1% | — |
| 613d | dildobaggins69 | DeepSeek banned in US before April? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,183 | −$104 −4.8% | — |
| 619d | diminish | DeepSeek banned in US before April? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,881 | +$217 +7.5% | 4 |
| 619d | polywanta3 fills | DeepSeek banned in US before April? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,917 | +$635 +11% | 4 |
| 620d |  Oil-Baron | DeepSeek banned in US before April? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | −$122 −8.7% | — |
| 623d |  Justitia2 fills | DeepSeek banned in US before April? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,592 | +$453 +6.9% | 4 |
| 626d | CrashOverride952 fills | DeepSeek banned in US before April? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $9,397 | +$702 +7.5% | 4 |
| 631d |  12402342 fills | DeepSeek banned in US before April? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,913 | +$472 +12% | 4 |
| 631d | NELF | DeepSeek banned in US before April? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$193 +16% | 4 |
| 632d | Tropical24562 fills | DeepSeek banned in US before April? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,759 | +$367 +13% | 4 |
| 633d | PolyChrome | DeepSeek banned in US before April? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | −$119 −12% | — |
| 633d | pako | DeepSeek banned in US before April? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$195 +8.9% | 4 |
| 634d |  TheKinginYellow | DeepSeek banned in US before April? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,769 | +$231 +13% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US government ban that prohibits access or use of AI models owned by DeepSeek by the majority of Americans in the United States becomes legally enforceable for any amount of time between January 22, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.