| SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 1,914 | 76¢ → 82¢ | $1,570 | +$106 +7.3% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 69d | No | 874 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $817 | +$16 +2.1% |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 675 | 76¢ → 87¢ | $587 | +$74 +14% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 682 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $570 | +$16 +2.9% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 600 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $547 | +$47 +9.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 582 | 79¢ → 93¢ | $538 | +$80 +17% |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 574 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $496 | +$19 +4.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 598 | 52¢ → 68¢ | $403 | +$93 +30% |
| AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 500 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $397 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 390 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $369 | +$49 +15% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 2,900 | 31¢ → 13¢ | $362 | −$541 −60% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 363 | 86¢ → 90¢ | $325 | +$13 +4.1% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 346 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $316 | +$2 +0.5% |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 321 | 70¢ → 89¢ | $284 | +$58 +26% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 68d | Yes | 324 | 75¢ → 84¢ | $271 | +$28 +11% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 25,000 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $263 | +$63 +31% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 284 | 72¢ → 91¢ | $257 | +$53 +26% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 1,086 | 32¢ → 22¢ | $234 | −$116 −33% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 310 | 66¢ → 71¢ | $219 | +$14 +6.8% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 225 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $217 | +$3 +1.5% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 229 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $212 | +$18 +9.1% |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 244 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $211 | +$11 +5.5% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 248 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $198 | +$3 +1.8% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 209 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $195 | +$32 +20% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 199 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $190 | +$27 +17% |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 203 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $183 | +$25 +16% |
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 185 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $179 | +$4 +2.5% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 203 | 74¢ → 87¢ | $177 | +$26 +17% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 159d | Yes | 175 | 73¢ → 99¢ | $173 | +$46 +36% |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Ends in 4d | Yes | 186 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $173 | +$7 +4.2% |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 238 | 57¢ → 71¢ | $169 | +$33 +24% |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 248 | 46¢ → 67¢ | $165 | +$52 +46% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 371 | 40¢ → 44¢ | $162 | +$14 +9.8% |
| US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 174 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $160 | +$10 +7.0% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 185 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $159 | +$9 +5.7% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 194 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $158 | +$5 +3.2% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 2,941 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $153 | +$3 +2.0% |
| Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 280 | 35¢ → 53¢ | $148 | +$50 +51% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 173 | 66¢ → 85¢ | $146 | +$32 +28% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,550 | 27¢ → 9¢ | $137 | −$287 −68% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 176 | 83¢ → 74¢ | $130 | −$16 −11% |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 140 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $127 | +$8 +6.5% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 126 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $123 | +$10 +8.7% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 127 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $121 | +$15 +14% |
| Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 700 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $116 | −$4 −2.9% |
| Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?Ends in 69d | No | 113 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $111 | +$9 +8.8% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 600 | 9¢ → 19¢ | $111 | +$54 +95% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | Yes | 689 | 22¢ → 16¢ | $110 | −$40 −27% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 113 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $109 | +$8 +7.4% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 174 | 49¢ → 60¢ | $103 | +$18 +21% |
| Luke Campbell arrested by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 109 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $99 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 102 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $99 | +$4 +3.7% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 106 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $97 | −$3 −2.7% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 100 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $97 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 101 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $90 | +$6 +6.7% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 91 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $85 | +$2 +2.7% |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Ends in 69d | No | 86 | 74¢ → 97¢ | $84 | +$20 +32% |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 84 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $79 | +$2 +2.7% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 82 | 75¢ → 92¢ | $75 | +$14 +22% |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 114 | 50¢ → 61¢ | $70 | +$13 +23% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 64 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $61 | +$2 +3.5% |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 255 | 19¢ → 22¢ | $56 | +$8 +16% |
| Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 49 | 65¢ → 90¢ | $44 | +$12 +38% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 46 | 79¢ → 96¢ | $44 | +$8 +21% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 218d | Yes | 67 | 36¢ → 63¢ | $42 | +$18 +74% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 34 | 83¢ → 98¢ | $33 | +$5 +18% |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 179 | 28¢ → 14¢ | $25 | −$25 −50% |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 60 | 69¢ → 30¢ | $18 | −$23 −57% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 413 | 71¢ → 4¢ | $15 | −$280 −95% |
| Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 68d | Yes | 340 | 17¢ → 4¢ | $13 | −$44 −78% |
| Will Lindsey Graham be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 159d | No | 12 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $12 | +$1 +9.2% |
| Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 12 | 0¢ → 93¢ | $11 | +$11 +0.0% |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 12 | 85¢ → 78¢ | $10 | −$1 −7.8% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 8 | 75¢ → 77¢ | $6 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 48 | 29¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$12 −86% |
| Will there be four or more UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 500 | 75¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$374 −100% |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 68d | Yes | 201 | 53¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$104 −99% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 447 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$176 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 667 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 667 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,863 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,398 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$335 −100% |
| Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 389 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 824 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 675 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$243 −100% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 321 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
