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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 517d |  KingZeManel | DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,399 | +$23 +1.6% | 4 |
| 537d | CrashOverride95 | DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,348 | +$91 +3.9% | 4 |
| 555d |  Justitia2 fills | DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,756 | +$304 +11% | 4 |
RememberAmalek1,843 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any model by DeepSeek has a higher arena score than all OpenAI models on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) at any point by May 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the arena score must be higher - if it ties with the best OpenAI arena score it will not count. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.