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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamala Harris | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Hillary Clinton | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gavin Newsom | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gretchen Whitmer | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| J. B. Pritzker | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Josh Shapiro | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 797d |  TimeQuestion | Gretchen Whitmer | BuyNo>99¢ | $32,632 | +$33 +0.1% | 20 |
| 797d | TimeQuestion | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo>99¢ | $38,246 | +$38 +0.1% | 20 |
| 797d |  elmcap2 | J. B. Pritzker | BuyNo>99¢ | $32,910 | +$33 +0.1% | 20 |
| 797d | elmcap2 | Josh Shapiro | BuyNo>99¢ | $30,353 | +$30 +0.1% | 20 |
| 797d | elmcap2 | Gavin Newsom | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,511 | +$17 +0.1% | 20 |
| 799d | K1ngN0rth | Josh Shapiro | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,570 | +$13 +0.2% | 20 |
| 799d | K1ngN0rth | J. B. Pritzker | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,768 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 801d | Last-TributaryNew account | Gavin Newsom | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,000 | +$25 +0.1% | 20 |
| 813d |  9flare | Gavin Newsom | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,560 | −$34 −1.3% | — |
| 813d |  occasionalAwareness | J. B. Pritzker | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,282 | +$18 +1.4% | 20 |
| 814d | 9flare | Gavin Newsom | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,555 | +$39 +1.5% | 20 |
| 816d |  redbloodzcell | Hillary Clinton | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,772 | −$14 −0.8% | — |
| 817d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Hillary Clinton | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,483 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 821d | TheMaster-570 | Hillary Clinton | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,473 | −$54 −3.7% | — |
| 823d |  McDonalds-Employee4 fills | Gavin Newsom | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $14,966 | −$861 −5.8% | — |
| 823d |  50Whence | J. B. Pritzker | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,181 | +$200 +9.2% | 20 |
| 823d | 50Whence | Gretchen Whitmer | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,471 | −$131 −8.9% | — |
| 823d | McDonalds-Employee | Gretchen Whitmer | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | −$77 −7.5% | — |
| 824d | poptree | Gretchen Whitmer | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,057 | +$56 +5.3% | 20 |
| 824d | inaugural2 fills | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,275 | +$225 +5.3% | 20 |
| 824d | redbloodzcell | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,056 | +$231 +11% | 20 |
| 824d |  oer6969692 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$1,403 +52% | 20 |
| 836d | waaffles | Kamala Harris | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $4,974 | −$4,974 −100% | 20 |
| 836d | TheMaster-570 | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$29 +2.2% | 20 |
| 837d |  ImJustKen | Gretchen Whitmer | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,521 | +$207 +14% | 20 |
| 838d |  Squee | Kamala Harris | BuyYes44¢ → 100¢ | $1,405 | +$1,789 +127% | 20 |
| 839d | McDonalds-Employee2 fills | Gavin Newsom | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $11,480 | +$2,520 +22% | 20 |
| 844d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | Hillary Clinton | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | −$60 −3.1% | — |
| 846d | CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,382 | +$43 +3.1% | 20 |
This is a market on whether Democratic candidates will announce their run for president before the Democratic National Convention.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kamala Harris means the market gives it about 100%.