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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1022d | details2 fills | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,140 | −$27 −0.4% | — |
| 1023d | alexela | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$12 +1.1% | 20 |
| 1024d | Better-102 | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | +$142 +12% | 20 |
| 1025d | anonim4 fills | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $7,883 | +$1,692 +21% | 20 |
| 1027d | poverty | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $3,233 | +$1,164 +36% | 20 |
| 1030d | Dvsk-565 | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$1,725 +35% | 24 |
| 1031d | AnonS323 fills | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $5,327 | +$1,304 +24% | 21 |
| 1034d |  50Whence2 fills | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $2,926 | −$2,926 −100% | 22 |
| 1053d |  FunCoupons | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $2,021 | −$2,021 −100% | 21 |
| 1054d | W]$_u45HU6^ | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | BuyYes62¢ → 0¢ | $1,548 | −$1,548 −100% | 20 |
| 1054d |  ImJustKen | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,476 | −$1,476 −100% | 20 |
| 1054d |  debased | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | SellNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,544 | −$1,454 −94% | — |
| 1057d | lug | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,533 | −$1,533 −100% | 21 |
| 1057d | details | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,975 | +$525 +27% | 20 |
| 1058d |  juicebox | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $3,550 | +$1,750 +49% | 20 |
| 1058d | PolyOG | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $2,004 | −$2,004 −100% | 20 |
| 1062d | Gdub | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $7,990 | −$1,646 −21% | — |
| 1063d |  aenews-915 | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $2,258 | +$1,505 +67% | 20 |
| 1064d | vacay | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $3,117 | +$1,343 +43% | 20 |
| 1087d | Gdub2 fills | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,012 | +$503 +13% | 20 |
| 1091d | Puzzled-Yourself2 fills | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,380 | −$620 −18% | — |
| 1095d | SCD-807 | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,690 | +$310 +18% | 20 |
SidiousLocks171 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if credible evidence surfaces indicating that Israeli intelligence agencies or the Israeli government had foreknowledge of a specific attack by Hamas, linked to the October 7 attack, and took no action to prevent it by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The evidence must unequivocally demonstrate that the Israeli government or intelligence apparatus had substantial and specific information about an attack by Hamas prior to its occurrence and deliberately chose not to act. Generic or vague alerts, warnings, or intelligence without direct link to the October 7, 2023 attack by Hamas will not be considered sufficient for this market's resolution. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.