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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $7-8b | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| <$5b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $5-6b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $6-7b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $8-9b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $9-10b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| >$10b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 892d |  ImJustKen | <$5b | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,908 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 892d | Nobody23041 | <$5b | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 892d |  funnyday | $9-10b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,912 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 892d | funnyday | >$10b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 892d |  LBZcapital | >$10b | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,243 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 892d | LBZcapital | $9-10b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,364 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 |
| 894d |  Squee2 fills | >$10b | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,449 | +$51 +2.1% | 4 |
| 894d | Squee2 fills | >$10b | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,943 | −$90 −3.0% | — |
| 896d | Nobody23041 | <$5b | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | +$64 +5.3% | 4 |
| 901d | Squee | $6-7b | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,449 | −$651 −27% | — |
| 901d | Squee | $9-10b | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,149 | +$173 +4.2% | 4 |
| 901d | Squee | $5-6b | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,252 | −$1,252 −100% | 5 |
| 901d | Squee | $8-9b | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,204 | +$218 +9.9% | 4 |
| 902d | Squee2 fills | $7-8b | BuyNo83¢ → 0¢ | $2,936 | −$2,936 −100% | 4 |
| 903d | Squee | $5-6b | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,782 | +$418 +23% | 4 |
| 903d | Nobody23041 | $9-10b | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,731 | +$91 +5.3% | 4 |
| 903d | Squee | $6-7b | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $4,612 | +$1,288 +28% | 4 |
| 903d | Squee | <$5b | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $1,126 | −$1,126 −100% | 5 |
asdad
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $7-8b means the market gives it about 100%.