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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 27 | 100% | +36 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| January 16 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 23 | 0% | −3 pts | −54 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| January 30 | 0% | −45 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 265d | pelik | January 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,616 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | January 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,283 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 |
| 272d |  PredictionYogi2 fills | January 23 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,056 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 279d |  Ahpo | January 16 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,915 | +$61 +3.2% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between this market’s creation and market close on the final day of trading prior to or on the listed date, any 1-minute candle for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above 50,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EDJI/.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for February 27 means the market gives it about 100%.