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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 24 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 1 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 8 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 27 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 4 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 184d |  Rituximab | April 24 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,248 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 184d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | April 27 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,046 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 184d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | May 8 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,039 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 184d |  ScottyNooo | April 24 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,628 | +$276 +3.2% | 20 |
Lavincey60 sharesDrake has dropped an ice block installation at 81 Bond Street in Toronto, Canada. It is expected that this sculpture will melt, revealing the release date for the upcoming "Iceman" album. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the described sculpture melts sufficiently to reveal a legible date at any point between this market's creation and the specified date (ET). If the described sculpture melts completely and does not contain a date, or otherwise does not reveal a date by the specified date (ET), this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Drake and his team, as well as a consensus of credible information, including livestreams, entertainment news, etc.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for April 24 means the market gives it about 100%.