| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 268,569 | 55¢ → 77¢ | $205,992 | +$57,312 +39% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 184,113 | 59¢ → 52¢ | $95,739 | −$12,450 −12% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 86,893 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $80,376 | +$7,550 +10% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 40,123 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $37,114 | +$2,070 +5.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 54,645 | 47¢ → 68¢ | $36,885 | +$11,323 +44% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 48,335 | 59¢ → 70¢ | $33,835 | +$5,430 +19% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 33,819 | 74¢ → 92¢ | $30,944 | +$5,806 +23% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 56,197 | 59¢ → 52¢ | $29,222 | −$4,078 −12% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 344,054 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $22,536 | +$6,847 +44% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 102,809 | 23¢ → 20¢ | $20,613 | −$3,001 −13% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 22,238 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $20,570 | +$761 +3.8% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 25,000 | 85¢ → 77¢ | $19,125 | −$2,086 −9.8% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 480,253 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $18,730 | +$4,877 +35% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 15,472 | 75¢ → 95¢ | $14,621 | +$2,954 +25% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 21,063 | 48¢ → 68¢ | $14,217 | +$4,031 +40% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 55,405 | 48¢ → 24¢ | $13,020 | −$13,470 −51% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 16,064 | 68¢ → 76¢ | $12,217 | +$1,317 +12% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 46,803 | 32¢ → 25¢ | $11,467 | −$3,605 −24% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 16,594 | 63¢ → 66¢ | $10,952 | +$519 +5.0% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 24,052 | 45¢ → 44¢ | $10,619 | −$179 −1.7% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 15,542 | 52¢ → 68¢ | $10,491 | +$2,423 +30% |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 8,648 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $8,043 | +$382 +5.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 11,008 | 66¢ → 66¢ | $7,265 | +$5 +0.1% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 40,203 | 19¢ → 15¢ | $6,151 | −$1,412 −19% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 6,072 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $5,935 | +$5 +0.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 8,214 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $5,914 | +$128 +2.2% |
| Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Ends in 11d | No | 5,537 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $5,415 | −$33 −0.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 6,223 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $5,383 | −$92 −1.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 7,438 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $5,318 | +$100 +1.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 5,861 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $5,070 | −$116 −2.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 6,837 | 60¢ → 70¢ | $4,786 | +$697 +17% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5,521 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $4,610 | +$11 +0.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 6,416 | 63¢ → 67¢ | $4,266 | +$225 +5.6% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 8,546 | 39¢ → 46¢ | $3,948 | +$625 +19% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 316,228 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $3,637 | +$3,022 +492% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,627 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $3,498 | +$18 +0.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5,177 | 64¢ → 67¢ | $3,443 | +$125 +3.8% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 37,138 | 16¢ → 9¢ | $3,435 | −$2,449 −42% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 6,933 | 48¢ → 49¢ | $3,414 | +$84 +2.5% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 3,675 | 79¢ → 92¢ | $3,381 | +$461 +16% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 64,329 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $3,216 | −$91 −2.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 13,279 | 10¢ → 23¢ | $3,054 | +$1,724 +130% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 3,228 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $3,018 | +$30 +1.0% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,367 | 75¢ → 89¢ | $3,005 | +$482 +19% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 2,955 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $2,933 | +$21 +0.7% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 31,509 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $2,741 | −$587 −18% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 2,916 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $2,684 | +$256 +11% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 47d | Yes | 3,283 | 86¢ → 78¢ | $2,544 | −$295 −10% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 19,572 | 6¢ → 13¢ | $2,476 | +$1,387 +127% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 114,752 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $2,295 | +$1,401 +157% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 2,338 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $2,293 | +$59 +2.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 2,154 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $2,068 | +$43 +2.1% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 8,887 | 20¢ → 23¢ | $1,999 | +$208 +12% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,569 | 72¢ → 74¢ | $1,901 | +$59 +3.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 2,311 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $1,883 | +$143 +8.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,911 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $1,827 | +$14 +0.8% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 84,465 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $1,774 | −$48 −2.6% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 1,829 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $1,773 | +$23 +1.3% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 1,728 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $1,564 | +$37 +2.4% |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,542 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $1,364 | −$31 −2.2% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 12,142 | 9¢ → 11¢ | $1,336 | +$230 +21% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 13,868 | 10¢ → 10¢ | $1,331 | −$27 −2.0% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 42,941 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $1,288 | +$475 +58% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,703 | 71¢ → 74¢ | $1,252 | +$43 +3.5% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 2,711 | 26¢ → 44¢ | $1,179 | +$477 +68% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 1,104 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$3 +0.3% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 54,259 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $977 | +$359 +58% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 8,253 | 10¢ → 12¢ | $949 | +$89 +10% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?Ends in 69d | No | 1,201 | 73¢ → 76¢ | $907 | +$28 +3.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,133 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $889 | −$5 −0.6% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 5,517 | 15¢ → 15¢ | $852 | +$24 +2.9% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 11d | Yes | 856 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $846 | +$79 +10% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 866 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $827 | +$128 +18% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,144 | 58¢ → 66¢ | $749 | +$85 +13% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | No | 700 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $697 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 937 | 68¢ → 72¢ | $670 | +$36 +5.6% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7,334 | 50¢ → 9¢ | $649 | −$3,026 −82% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,634 | 25¢ → 40¢ | $645 | +$234 +57% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,603 | 35¢ → 39¢ | $625 | +$59 +10% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 665 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $605 | +$20 +3.5% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 600 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $591 | +$9 +1.5% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 650 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $582 | +$30 +5.5% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10,297 | 18¢ → 6¢ | $566 | −$1,305 −70% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 800 | 77¢ → 67¢ | $532 | −$80 −13% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 600 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $519 | +$3 +0.6% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 600 | 87¢ → 84¢ | $501 | −$20 −3.8% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 700 | 71¢ → 70¢ | $487 | −$9 −1.8% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,926 | 25¢ → 17¢ | $483 | −$256 −35% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 600 | 72¢ → 78¢ | $465 | +$31 +7.1% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 16,717 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $460 | +$192 +72% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 8,633 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $449 | +$90 +25% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 8,141 | 28¢ → 6¢ | $448 | −$1,838 −80% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 460 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $443 | +$20 +4.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 475 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $442 | +$25 +6.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,707 | 17¢ → 26¢ | $435 | +$139 +47% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 639 | 53¢ → 68¢ | $432 | +$92 +27% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 277,777 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $417 | −$716 −63% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 455 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $416 | +$14 +3.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 444 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $408 | +$20 +5.1% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,815 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $408 | +$2 +0.5% |
