Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Ennis | 100% | +20 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Janet Horner | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Gerry Hutch | 0% | −2 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Malachy Steenson | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Ian Noel Smyth | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Gillian Sherratt | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Janice Boylan | 0% | −18 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Séamas McGrattan | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| John Stephens | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Mary Fitzpatrick | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Ray McAdam | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 152d |  Eire | Daniel Ennis | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,000 | +$105 +1.2% | 10 |
| 152d |  HerlihyM923 fills | Daniel Ennis | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,672 | +$108 +1.9% | 10 |
| 152d | HerlihyM923 fills | Gerry Hutch | SellNo>99¢ | $9,191 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 152d | tphhh2 fills | Gerry Hutch | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,208 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 |
| 152d |  DuneMentat2 fills | Janice Boylan | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,920 | +$81 +2.1% | 10 |
| 152d | DuneMentat2 fills | Daniel Ennis | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,548 | +$44 +1.7% | 10 |
| 152d | tphhh | Malachy Steenson | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,393 | +$11 +0.1% | 10 |
| 152d | tphhh | Ray McAdam | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,234 | +$19 +0.2% | 10 |
| 152d | tphhh | Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin | BuyNo>99¢ | $27,659 | +$28 +0.1% | 10 |
| 152d | tphhh2 fills | John Stephens | BuyNo>99¢ | $40,883 | +$56 +0.1% | 10 |
| 152d | tphhh3 fills | Gillian Sherratt | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,374 | +$20 +0.1% | 10 |
| 153d | tphhh | Séamas McGrattan | BuyNo>99¢ | $27,771 | +$28 +0.1% | 10 |
| 153d |  GerryHannon | Daniel Ennis | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,364 | +$103 +7.5% | 10 |
| 153d | qsdfg | Gillian Sherratt | SellNo>99¢ | $1,128 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 153d | qsdfg | Gillian Sherratt | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,130 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 153d | hdefs13 | Gillian Sherratt | SellNo>99¢ | $1,247 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 153d | NDHDN | Gillian Sherratt | SellNo>99¢ | $1,272 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 153d | rbhfgb | Gillian Sherratt | SellNo>99¢ | $1,148 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 153d | hdefs13 | Gillian Sherratt | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,248 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 153d | vgtum | Mary Fitzpatrick | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,146 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 153d | NDHDN | Gillian Sherratt | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,274 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 153d | KiernanMeister5 fills | Gillian Sherratt | BuyNo>99¢ | $151,236 | +$303 +0.2% | 10 |
| 153d | KiernanMeister | Mary Fitzpatrick | BuyNo>99¢ | $34,291 | +$69 +0.2% | 10 |
| 153d | rbhfgb | Gillian Sherratt | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,148 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 153d | FootballFan98 | Gerry Hutch | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,228 | +$44 +3.6% | 10 |
| 153d | Bleak-Lava4 fills | Gillian Sherratt | BuyNo>99¢ | $105,295 | +$216 +0.2% | 10 |
| 153d | rgcvcx | John Stephens | SellNo>99¢ | $1,033 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 154d | yujyvg | Gillian Sherratt | SellNo>99¢ | $1,216 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 154d | egvcbhh | John Stephens | SellNo>99¢ | $1,148 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 154d | yujyvg | Gillian Sherratt | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,218 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 154d | rgcvcx | John Stephens | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,034 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 154d | yhjnb | John Stephens | SellNo>99¢ | $1,227 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 154d | egvcbhh | John Stephens | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,149 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 154d | sgdjhjdeth | John Stephens | SellNo>99¢ | $1,048 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 154d | yhjnb | John Stephens | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,229 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 154d | sgdjhjdeth | John Stephens | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,049 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 154d | lkdaewq648 | Gillian Sherratt | SellNo>99¢ | $1,241 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 154d | lkdaewq648 | Gillian Sherratt | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,243 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 154d | wghsdtdht | Gillian Sherratt | SellNo>99¢ | $1,270 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 154d | sfgdgfher | John Stephens | SellNo>99¢ | $1,271 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 154d | vfgfbg | John Stephens | SellNo>99¢ | $1,125 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 154d | vhfghtjm | Gillian Sherratt | SellNo>99¢ | $1,269 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 154d | cdsdewh3 | John Stephens | SellNo>99¢ | $1,227 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 154d | DSDGFG | Gillian Sherratt | SellNo>99¢ | $1,270 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 154d | pnobyxqdi | John Stephens | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,563 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 154d | dthtjdt | John Stephens | SellNo>99¢ | $1,207 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 154d | lculpyqj | Gillian Sherratt | SellNo>99¢ | $1,259 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 154d | wghsdtdht | Gillian Sherratt | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,271 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 154d | DSDGFG | Gillian Sherratt | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,271 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 154d | dthtjdt | John Stephens | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,208 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 154d | Pushkin | Mary Fitzpatrick | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,111 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 154d | Pushkin | Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,111 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 154d | Pushkin | John Stephens | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,111 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 154d | Pushkin | Gillian Sherratt | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,111 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 154d | Stupendous-Spite | John Stephens | SellNo>99¢ | $1,553 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 154d | Stupendous-Spite | John Stephens | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,555 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 154d | Stupendous-Spite | Mary Fitzpatrick | SellNo>99¢ | $2,008 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 154d | Stupendous-Spite | Mary Fitzpatrick | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,010 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 155d | egbgh | John Stephens | SellNo>99¢ | $1,042 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 155d | jdrswghft | John Stephens | SellNo>99¢ | $1,061 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Daniel Ennis means the market gives it about 100%.
