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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $250m-300m | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| <$200m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $200m-250m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| >$300m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 890d | professorx | $250m-300m | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,108 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 890d | professorx | >$300m | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,989 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 891d |  Anjun | $250m-300m | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,751 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 891d | Anjun | >$300m | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,904 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 893d | kenshotme | >$300m | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,770 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 897d |  aebonds | >$300m | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,967 | +$33 +0.3% | 4 |
| 902d | GummiMummi3 fills | >$300m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,655 | +$257 +1.8% | 4 |
| 919d |  aenews2 | $250m-300m | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,824 | +$118 +3.1% | 4 |
| 919d | aenews2 | >$300m | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $13,236 | +$423 +3.2% | 4 |
| 938d | parkerpete | $250m-300m | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,357 | −$143 −11% | — |
| 938d | parkerpete | >$300m | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$120 +8.7% | 4 |
| 939d |  ImJustKen2 fills | >$300m | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,902 | +$635 +11% | 4 |
| 941d |  crystalfalls2 fills | $200m-250m | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,490 | +$11 +0.3% | 4 |
| 943d | aenews2 | $200m-250m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,410 | +$151 +2.0% | 4 |
| 947d |  New.Jeans2 fills | $200m-250m | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,748 | +$157 +5.7% | 4 |
| 961d | New.Jeans | >$300m | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,339 | +$149 +11% | 4 |
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $250m-300m means the market gives it about 100%.