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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 bps decrease | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Increase | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No Change | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50 bps decrease | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >50 bps decrease | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 631d |  noreasapa | No Change | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,698 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 631d | noreasapa3 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $15,487 | +$135 +0.9% | 10 |
| 631d |  Hasee | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,369 | +$12 +0.3% | 10 |
| 631d | abeautifulmind | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,634 | +$11 +0.1% | 10 |
| 631d | wokerjoesleeper | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,953 | +$20 +1.0% | 10 |
| 631d | wokerjoesleeper3 fills | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,277 | +$15 +0.3% | 10 |
| 631d |  iamhungry2 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,275 | +$48 +1.1% | 10 |
| 631d | Up-Down2 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,741 | +$94 +2.0% | 11 |
| 631d | cigarettes3 fills | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,681 | +$34 +0.6% | 10 |
| 631d | cigarettes2 fills | No Change | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,484 | +$129 +2.4% | 11 |
| 632d | noreasapa | 50 bps decrease | SellNo>99¢ | $4,487 | −$13 −0.3% | — |
| 632d | OPFORintelligence | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,007 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 632d |  xoxoxololxo | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,011 | +$39 +2.0% | 11 |
| 632d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | Increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 632d |  site-sakini | 25 bps decrease | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | −$43 −4.1% | — |
| 633d | Monster24 | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,948 | +$51 +2.6% | 10 |
| 633d | site-sakini | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,057 | +$29 +2.8% | 10 |
| 633d | cigarettes | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,404 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 633d | cigarettes2 fills | Increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,398 | +$7 +0.2% | 10 |
| 634d | noreasapa | 25 bps decrease | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | −$101 −4.1% | — |
| 634d | wokerjoesleeper | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 634d | wokerjoesleeper | Increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 641d | Trinity452 fills | 25 bps decrease | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,995 | −$205 −6.8% | — |
| 648d | Trinity45 | No Change | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$662 +19% | 10 |
| 649d | Bio.CA2 fills | Increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,888 | +$11 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | 0x75B | Increase | SellNo>99¢ | $1,793 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 649d | monidog | Increase | SellNo>99¢ | $1,594 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 649d | Mnl.DAS | Increase | SellNo>99¢ | $1,280 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 649d | Mnl.DAS | Increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,494 | +$6 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | BridgetS | >50 bps decrease | SellNo>99¢ | $5,890 | −$24 −0.4% | — |
| 649d | BridgetS | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,080 | +$24 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | kenyon-927 | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,091 | +$24 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | nimS | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,103 | +$25 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | GerretPaul | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,124 | +$25 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | wmibb | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,142 | +$25 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | vcqef | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,158 | +$25 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | xcyrr | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,176 | +$25 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | KANES-621 | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,193 | +$25 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | ztxh | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,208 | +$25 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | fhk39 | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,219 | +$25 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | taradillon | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,231 | +$25 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | hpvmqx | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,243 | +$25 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | QUINCY | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,256 | +$25 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | FionaGladys | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,276 | +$25 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | SeedsPretty | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,284 | +$25 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | KieferYvonne | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,289 | +$25 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | richardS | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,297 | +$25 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | zcmbq | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,304 | +$25 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | HalSimona | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,316 | +$25 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | cbaS | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,326 | +$25 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | niepA | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,336 | +$25 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | DoraMontague | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,356 | +$26 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | juv | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,367 | +$26 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | AldaJerome | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,380 | +$26 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | DelilahLovely | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,398 | +$26 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | b2o7q | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,410 | +$26 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | rm73l | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,422 | +$26 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | VernonFarmer | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,440 | +$26 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | MICHAELS | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,451 | +$26 +0.4% | 10 |
| 649d | lospty | >50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,464 | +$26 +0.4% | 10 |
This is a negrisk market group about European Central Bank interest rates set after the January 2025 meeting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 25 bps decrease means the market gives it about 100%.