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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 750-799 | 100% | +40 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <400 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 400-449 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 450-499 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 500-549 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 550-599 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 600-649 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 650-699 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 700-749 | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 800-849 | 0% | −24 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 850-899 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 900+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602d |  ElonSpam | 750-799 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 602d | dewli | 750-799 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,498 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 602d | blaze117 | 800-849 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,857 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 602d | housleskytarou | 750-799 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,042 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 603d |  BigBlackGorilla | 850-899 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,024 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 603d |  Prexpect3 fills | 800-849 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,282 | −$302 −3.3% | — |
| 603d | AZwater2 fills | 900+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $44,574 | −$594 −1.3% | — |
| 603d | asdfghjkllkjhgfdsdfgh | 750-799 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,755 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 603d |  NERV | 750-799 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,012 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 603d |  UwO | 800-849 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,039 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 603d |  Gustav4 | 800-849 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,496 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 603d |  lucid-NEXUS-amused | 750-799 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,263 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 603d | kingbin | 800-849 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,003 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 603d | Dapper-Grandfather | 750-799 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,118 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 603d | 0xeccdededcc | 800-849 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 603d | kingbin | 750-799 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,506 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 603d | noovd2 fills | 750-799 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $22,018 | +$259 +1.2% | 20 |
| 603d | Prexpect2 fills | 750-799 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,962 | +$97 +3.3% | 21 |
| 603d |  drillbbydrill | 750-799 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,001 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 603d |  catasus | 750-799 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,801 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 603d |  Therealsmurf3 fills | 750-799 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,181 | +$18 +0.3% | 20 |
| 603d | ElonSpam | 750-799 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,537 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 603d | astromage2 fills | 750-799 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,847 | +$63 +0.5% | 20 |
| 603d |  meowinglion3 fills | 850-899 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,610 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 603d |  PredictionYogi5 fills | 800-849 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,895 | +$439 +4.4% | 21 |
| 603d | dewli | 750-799 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | +$9 +0.6% | 20 |
| 603d | meowinglion | 900+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,846 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 603d | Dapper-Grandfather | 750-799 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$13 +1.3% | 20 |
| 603d |  Naichli | 750-799 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | −$26 −2.5% | — |
| 603d | uppers | 800-849 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,270 | +$8 +0.6% | 20 |
| 603d |  CallmeEuphoria2 fills | 750-799 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,418 | +$64 +1.9% | 20 |
| 603d | CallmeEuphoria | 900+ | SellNo>99¢ | $3,892 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 603d | AGJKL | 750-799 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,594 | −$64 −4.0% | — |
| 603d | Brrrrt | 750-799 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | −$37 −3.4% | — |
| 603d | Trustme11 | 750-799 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,275 | −$49 −2.2% | — |
| 603d | astromage | 800-849 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$11 +1.1% | 20 |
| 603d | UwO | 800-849 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$8 +0.7% | 20 |
| 603d | cipherpilot3 fills | 750-799 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,646 | +$65 +0.7% | 20 |
| 603d |  Dinoart | 800-849 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$6 +0.6% | 20 |
| 603d |  Wzlomster | 750-799 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | +$10 +0.8% | 20 |
| 603d | cipherpilot | 800-849 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,688 | +$12 +0.7% | 20 |
| 603d | leiger | 800-849 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,679 | +$27 +1.0% | 20 |
| 603d | leiger2 fills | 750-799 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,064 | +$36 +1.2% | 20 |
| 603d |  Pannonius | 900+ | SellNo>99¢ | $2,144 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 603d |  item04 | 750-799 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$33 +3.2% | 20 |
| 603d | Siziriv | 850-899 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,462 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 603d | Siziriv | 800-849 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,383 | +$81 +5.8% | 20 |
| 603d | cigarettes2 fills | 900+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,781 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 603d | Kikimushka | 900+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,001 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 603d | cigarettes2 fills | 850-899 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,362 | +$8 +0.4% | 20 |
| 603d | pol25 | 700-749 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,213 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 603d | Prexpect3 fills | 800-849 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $13,860 | +$536 +3.9% | 21 |
| 603d | glarity | 700-749 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,843 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 603d | glarity | 800-849 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,030 | +$187 +3.1% | 21 |
| 603d | glarity3 fills | 750-799 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,312 | +$137 +4.1% | 21 |
| 603d | PredictionYogi9 fills | 900+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,317 | +$261 +1.3% | 20 |
| 603d | Gustav42 fills | 700-749 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,735 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 603d | glarity | 900+ | SellNo>99¢ | $4,147 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 603d | Gustav4 | 800-849 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,905 | +$166 +8.7% | 23 |
| 603d |  Alterego-628 | 750-799 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,219 | +$87 +7.1% | 22 |
enochsmiles3,223 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between February 21, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 750-799 means the market gives it about 100%.