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Polymarket wallet 0x063aeee10fbfd55b6def10da28e87a601e7deb4b · on Polymarket since Jul 4, 2024 · also shown as Scared-Chaos
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | No | 1,000 | 45¢ → 53¢ | $528 | +$78 +17% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,000 | 35¢ → 3¢ | $34 | −$317 −90% |
| Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,154 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$138 −100% |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,629 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$867 −100% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,310 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$731 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.