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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65-89 | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <40 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-64 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90-114 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 115-139 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 140-164 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 165-189 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 190-214 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 215-239 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 240+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 242d | annerexx | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,967 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 242d |  URATOKYO | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,309 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 242d |  500AndADream | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,120 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 242d |  Zenef2 | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,735 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 242d | crawlxx1 | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,153 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 242d | Bankrupt-Loser | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,951 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 242d | OstapP | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,839 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 242d |  crvAlex | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,234 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 242d | 0xf328…2b78 | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,900 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 242d |  stauffen | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,616 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 242d | cucuruzblindat | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,112 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 242d |  Kamikaze99 | 65-89 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,926 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 |
| 242d |  zouranzoki | 90-114 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,011 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 242d |  Deepwinner888 | 65-89 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,904 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 242d |  LinaBell🦊3 fills | 65-89 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,367 | +$122 +1.5% | 20 |
| 242d |  PredictionYogi2 fills | 65-89 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $3,410 | +$590 +17% | 24 |
| 242d | zouranzoki | 90-114 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$6 +0.6% | 20 |
| 242d | 0xtopper | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 242d | 137N | 65-89 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | +$6 +0.6% | 20 |
| 242d | deyi962451 | 90-114 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,196 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 242d | zuzula | 90-114 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,163 | +$26 +0.8% | 20 |
| 242d | xixi932 | 65-89 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,651 | +$29 +1.1% | 20 |
| 242d |  Gustav4 | 65-89 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,361 | +$31 +1.3% | 20 |
| 242d | Gustav44 fills | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $40,998 | −$41 −0.1% | — |
| 242d | SteveFill | 90-114 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,562 | −$47 −1.8% | — |
| 242d | Gustav42 fills | 90-114 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,959 | +$119 +0.9% | 20 |
| 242d |  Mei-ji | 90-114 | SellNo100¢ | $1,371 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 242d | forestk | 65-89 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,151 | −$22 −0.4% | — |
| 242d | Bankrupt-Loser | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,943 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 242d |  0xzfl | 90-114 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,001 | −$24 −0.8% | — |
| 242d | Roar222 | 65-89 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,845 | −$18 −1.0% | — |
| 242d | ManCangGangGanDaDanGan | 65-89 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 20 |
| 242d |  bigguy4u | 65-89 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,170 | −$34 −1.6% | — |
| 242d | influenz.eth3 fills | 90-114 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,994 | +$366 +6.1% | 22 |
| 242d | k7sh | 65-89 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,866 | +$44 +1.5% | 21 |
| 242d | 0xzfl2 fills | 90-114 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,994 | +$281 +7.0% | 22 |
| 242d | annerexx | 65-89 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,423 | +$99 +2.9% | 21 |
| 242d | Wild-Manner | 90-114 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,069 | −$53 −2.5% | — |
| 242d | 0xzfl | 65-89 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,425 | −$29 −1.2% | — |
| 242d |  CriptoDadz | 65-89 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,388 | +$17 +1.2% | 20 |
| 242d | k7sh | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $12,628 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 242d | waterfall0 | 90-114 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,692 | +$54 +3.2% | 21 |
| 242d | These-Yoyo | 65-89 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | +$37 +3.1% | 21 |
| 242d | MMstrategy | 65-89 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$62 +3.1% | 21 |
| 242d | stauffen | 65-89 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | +$105 +7.5% | 22 |
| 242d | 0xtopper | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 242d | 137N | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,178 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 242d | SteveFill | 90-114 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,531 | +$78 +3.1% | 21 |
| 242d | SteveFill | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,531 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 243d | tenorplum | 65-89 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,990 | +$209 +4.2% | 21 |
| 243d | cucuruzblindat | 65-89 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$111 +11% | 23 |
| 243d | 0xzfl | 65-89 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$222 +11% | 23 |
| 243d |  GodofGamblers69 | 40-64 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,762 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 243d | These-Yoyo | 115-139 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,176 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 243d | Wild-Manner | 90-114 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,787 | +$244 +14% | 24 |
| 243d | influenz.eth2 fills | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,374 | +$9 +0.3% | 20 |
| 243d | ok2606 | 65-89 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,307 | +$315 +14% | 24 |
| 243d | 137N | 115-139 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,184 | +$13 +0.4% | 20 |
| 243d | WCWS | 190-214 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,687 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 243d |  shadow54 | 140-164 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,195 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
monkmood11,636 shares
David22mer976 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from February 21 12:00 PM ET to February 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 65-89 means the market gives it about 100%.