| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | Yes | 7,865 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $747 | −$94 −11% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 437d | No | 1,186 | 23¢ → 56¢ | $664 | +$395 +146% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Ends in 253d | Yes | 9,913 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $644 | −$56 −7.9% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 132d | No | 2,155 | 25¢ → 19¢ | $410 | −$130 −24% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | Yes | 6,529 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $398 | +$162 +68% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 14,367 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $323 | −$71 −18% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 3,162 | 8¢ → 10¢ | $316 | +$63 +25% |
| AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?Ends in 253d | Yes | 1,473 | 18¢ → 21¢ | $302 | +$38 +14% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | Yes | 11,763 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $294 | +$54 +23% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 102d | Yes | 3,591 | 10¢ → 8¢ | $269 | −$84 −24% |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Ends in 72d | No | 28,328 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $269 | −$233 −46% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 437d | Yes | 6,238 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $253 | −$21 −7.6% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 437d | Yes | 1,346 | 7¢ → 18¢ | $248 | +$155 +166% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 749d | Yes | 15,811 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $221 | −$63 −22% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 253d | Yes | 2,172 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $206 | −$24 −11% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 189 | 41¢ → 92¢ | $174 | +$96 +123% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 412 | 15¢ → 38¢ | $154 | +$92 +146% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 3,360 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $153 | −$56 −27% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 72d | Yes | 5,898 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $150 | −$33 −18% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 437d | Yes | 1,563 | 3¢ → 9¢ | $138 | +$86 +163% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | Yes | 283 | 27¢ → 25¢ | $72 | −$5 −7.1% |
| Will Trump resign before 2027?Ends in 72d | Yes | 2,838 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $64 | −$16 −20% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 72d | Yes | 1,388 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $63 | +$6 +9.8% |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | Yes | 249 | 23¢ → 24¢ | $60 | +$2 +4.1% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | Yes | 1,648 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $45 | +$3 +7.4% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | No | 737 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $43 | +$5 +12% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 749d | Yes | 2,173 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $42 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | Yes | 1,372 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $40 | −$7 −15% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | Yes | 1,532 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $38 | +$17 +87% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,058 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $37 | −$36 −49% |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 1,729 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $32 | −$60 −65% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 1,092 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $25 | −$10 −29% |
| Will Trump nationalize elections?Ends in 72d | Yes | 272 | 7¢ → 8¢ | $22 | +$2 +11% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | Yes | 441 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $21 | +$6 +41% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 767 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $20 | −$22 −52% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 56 | 18¢ → 30¢ | $17 | +$6 +61% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | Yes | 526 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $12 | +$2 +14% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 437d | Yes | 1,016 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $11 | −$8 −44% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 64 | 8¢ → 11¢ | $7 | +$2 +34% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?Ends in 437d | Yes | 74 | 3¢ → 7¢ | $5 | +$3 +150% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T?Ends in 437d | Yes | 249 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$1 −34% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 225 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,828 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$112 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 238 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 47 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32,162 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$577 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 68 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,324 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 102°F or higher on June 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,996 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 492 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,046 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$536 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 376 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,307 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 102 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,034 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$317 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 878 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 108,197 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$108 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,957 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$123 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,936 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$640 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 593 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 773 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 898 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,229 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$173 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48,026 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$276 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 65 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 113 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,264 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,901 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,521 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 913 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,426 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$226 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 156 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21,451 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,086 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6,139 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,033 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11,038 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 452 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$76 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,194 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,583 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on June 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,397 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,885 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 351 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,184 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor season 49?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,276 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,049 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$138 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24,228 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$410 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,067 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$239 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 58 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,249 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Hanks win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18,619 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$74 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 461 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,576 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$316 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18,392 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,713 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$472 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 119 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
