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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 240-259 | 14% | — | — | 14¢ · 15¢ (1¢) | $1.6K | in 10d |
| 260-279 | 14% | — | — | 13¢ · 14¢ (1¢) | $2.48K | in 10d |
| 220-239 | 13% | — | — | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | $1.1K | in 10d |
| 280-299 | 13% | — | — | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | $2.25K | in 10d |
| 300-319 | 10% | — | — | 9¢ · 11¢ (2¢) | $1.95K | in 10d |
| 200-219 | 9% | — | — | 8¢ · 10¢ (2¢) | $379 | in 10d |
| 320-339 | 7% | — | — | 5¢ · 9¢ (5¢) | $1.24K | in 10d |
| 340-359 | 5% | — | — | 3¢ · 7¢ (4¢) | $1.22K | in 10d |
| 180-199 | 5% | — | — | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | $573 | in 10d |
| 360-379 | 3% | — | — | 3¢ · 4¢ (2¢) | $524 | in 10d |
| 380-399 | 2% | — | — | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | $465 | in 10d |
| 400-419 | 2% | — | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $465 | in 10d |
| 420-439 | 2% | — | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $684 | in 10d |
| 440-459 | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $569 | in 10d |
| 160-179 | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $264 | in 10d |
| 460-479 | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $350 | in 10d |
| 480-499 | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $350 | in 10d |
| 140-159 | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $510 | in 10d |
| 500-519 | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $1.95K | in 10d |
| 580+ | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $1.44K | in 10d |
| 120-139 | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $459 | in 10d |
| 520-539 | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $159 | in 10d |
| 540-559 | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $159 | in 10d |
| 80-99 | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $1.58K | in 10d |
| 100-119 | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $1.26K | in 10d |
| 560-579 | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $567 | in 10d |
| <20 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $100 | in 10d |
| 20-39 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $100 | in 10d |
| 40-59 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $100 | in 10d |
| 60-79 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $290 | in 10d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
LornaPredicts98 shares
Bid.Me.Baby6 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 27 12:00 PM ET to November 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 14¢ for 240-259 means the market gives it about 14%.