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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225-249 | 100% | +32 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <100 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-124 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 125-149 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 150-174 | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 175-199 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200-224 | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 250-274 | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 275-299 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 300+ | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 763d | noovd | 225-249 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,081 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 763d | Andy0091 | 225-249 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,436 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 763d |  scout | 275-299 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,476 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 764d | scout | 300+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,247 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 764d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 300+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 764d |  MrNFT | 300+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,484 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 764d |  Jaded85 | 200-224 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 764d | szosty | 300+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,006 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 764d | Dziesiaty | 300+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,008 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 764d | Dziewiaty | 300+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 764d | 0xcBC1 | 300+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,008 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 765d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec3 fills | 175-199 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,004 | +$41 +0.8% | 20 |
| 765d |  realAFC | 175-199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,330 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 765d |  LBZcapital | 175-199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 765d |  Donkov | 175-199 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,489 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 765d | Donkov | 175-199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,487 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 765d | Ten-566 | 175-199 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,231 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 766d |  AgricultureSecretary | 150-174 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 766d | professorx | 150-174 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,577 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 766d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 150-174 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 766d | professorx | 125-149 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,103 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 766d |  YES | 125-149 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | +$7 +0.6% | 20 |
| 766d | professorx | 100-124 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,607 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 766d | realAFC | 300+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | −$48 −3.2% | — |
| 766d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | 100-124 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 766d | realAFC | 100-124 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,942 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 767d | realAFC | <100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,768 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 767d | tuturu | <100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 769d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | <100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,099 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 769d | rom7eo | 150-174 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | +$99 +6.6% | 20 |
| 770d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | 125-149 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$23 +2.0% | 20 |
| 770d | abdendriel | 150-174 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,271 | +$79 +6.2% | 20 |
| 770d | abdendriel | 125-149 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$60 +5.3% | 20 |
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between September 13 and 20.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 225-249 means the market gives it about 100%.