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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 575d |  donkeykongnig5 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes>99¢ | $19,599 | −$33 −0.2% | — |
| 575d |  ScamWick21 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $71,444 | +$11,056 +15% | 20 |
| 575d |  Dropper6 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes>99¢ | $30,797 | +$149 +0.5% | 20 |
| 575d |  Debosnys | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,343 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 575d | Dropper | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,549 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 575d | FedFan | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes>99¢ | $10,615 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 575d | DragonRider-819 | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,760 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 575d |  MisTKy35 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $46,063 | −$339 −0.7% | — |
| 575d | rwo4 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes>99¢ | $13,986 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 575d |  Tenebrus7 | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,823 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 575d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 575d |  praesagus10 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $117,518 | −$3,605 −3.1% | — |
| 575d |  bosshog | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes>99¢ | $11,377 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 575d |  Sivert | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes>99¢ | $10,490 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 575d | Gambler1968 | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 575d | 033033033 | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes>99¢ | $105,177 | +$105 +0.1% | 20 |
| 575d |  Euan3 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $38,615 | +$683 +1.8% | 20 |
| 575d | aviato2 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,945 | +$55 +0.4% | 20 |
| 575d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 575d |  pirateshere | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,006 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 575d | Nowhere-Man2 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes>99¢ | $34,965 | +$35 +0.1% | 20 |
| 575d | pantomime | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 575d | praesagus21 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $120,453 | +$2,923 +2.4% | 20 |
| 575d |  aenews28 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $80,523 | +$639 +0.8% | 20 |
| 575d |  Car23 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $91,183 | +$4,423 +4.9% | 20 |
| 575d | Car8 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $107,738 | −$3,415 −3.2% | — |
| 575d | rwo | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes100¢ | $5,075 | +$26 +0.5% | 20 |
| 575d |  d1k213 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,737 | +$96 +0.8% | 20 |
| 576d | LlamaEnjoyer | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,378 | −$19 −0.8% | — |
| 576d |  BlackSky123 | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,543 | +$11 +0.7% | 20 |
| 576d |  Infringe2 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,714 | −$82 −0.9% | — |
| 576d |  Burnmoneyuser | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,926 | −$72 −0.9% | — |
| 576d |  poorpleb2 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,384 | +$116 +2.7% | 20 |
| 576d |  mr.ozi | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | −$30 −1.0% | — |
| 576d |  KimJonEn3 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,899 | +$159 +3.2% | 20 |
| 576d | tsekinming01 | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $30,090 | −$273 −0.9% | — |
| 576d | antisocialpharaoh | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,273 | −$12 −0.9% | — |
| 576d | dzsibenaja3 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $10,753 | +$346 +3.2% | 20 |
| 576d | donkeykongnig5 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $28,309 | +$259 +0.9% | 20 |
| 576d | haohua | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,658 | +$38 +0.8% | 20 |
| 576d |  neetbets | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,154 | +$38 +0.9% | 20 |
| 577d |  bulborb | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,380 | −$41 −1.2% | — |
| 577d |  CoffeeLover3 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,091 | +$63 +0.8% | 20 |
| 577d |  456ythgbvcadscvb6 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $29,136 | +$275 +0.9% | 20 |
| 577d | bosshog2 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,955 | +$55 +1.4% | 20 |
| 577d | MisTKy315 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $64,646 | +$2,348 +3.6% | 20 |
| 577d |  tjrick | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,062 | +$27 +1.3% | 20 |
| 577d | d1k21 | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,868 | −$132 −1.5% | — |
| 577d | VvVv2 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,901 | +$99 +1.4% | 20 |
| 577d |  mountaindewd | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $34,691 | −$374 −1.1% | — |
| 577d |  accelarated | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,629 | −$57 −1.0% | — |
| 577d |  PeaceSeeker | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,682 | −$63 −1.1% | — |
| 577d |  dotethguy | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$24 +0.8% | 20 |
| 577d |  Astera2 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,618 | −$24 −0.9% | — |
| 577d | Astera2 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,522 | +$96 +3.8% | 20 |
| 577d |  carney-pls-win | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,402 | +$19 +0.8% | 20 |
| 577d | bulborb | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,394 | +$27 +0.8% | 20 |
| 577d |  UwO | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,020 | −$18 −0.9% | — |
| 577d |  Parz1vaI2 fills | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,212 | +$67 +2.1% | 20 |
| 578d |  BuckMySalls | Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $33,100 | +$233 +0.7% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, specifically covering energy infrastructure between Russia and Ukraine by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. A general ceasefire agreement which covers all theaters of war will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the ceasefire goes into effect. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine specifically addressing energy infrastructure has been reached will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.