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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $10-12.5b | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| <$5b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $5-7.5b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $7.5-10b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $12.5-15b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| >$15b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 934d | professorx | $7.5-10b | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 934d | bruegger | <$5b | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,664 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 934d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | >$15b | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$17 +1.4% | 2 |
| 935d |  LBZcapital | >$15b | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,191 | +$56 +2.6% | 2 |
| 935d |  ImJustKen | <$5b | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,351 | +$71 +5.3% | 2 |
| 938d | 123@# | >$15b | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,108 | +$139 +6.6% | 2 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $10-12.5b means the market gives it about 100%.