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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >3800 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| >3400 | 100% | +2 pts | +18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| >3600 | 100% | +5 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| >2800 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >2600 | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >3200 | 100% | +2 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| >4000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| >2400 | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >2200 | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >1800 | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >2000 | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 449d | Expensive-ObesityNew account | >3800 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,972 | +$124 +4.2% | 2 |
| 449d | 0xb68a…c5685 fills | >3800 | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $12,651 | −$2,356 −19% | — |
| 449d | 0xb68a…c5684 fills | >3800 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $6,676 | +$2,521 +38% | 4 |
| 449d | Expensive-ObesityNew account | >3800 | SellNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | −$740 −59% | — |
| 449d | 0x470c4462c67a3fab03901b81c0b96909f8330ca6 | >3400 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,798 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d | 0xb68a…c568 | >3800 | SellYes39¢ → 0¢ | $1,254 | +$1,254 +100% | — |
| 449d | 0xb68a…c568 | >3800 | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $3,213 | −$3,213 −100% | 5 |
| 449d | Chalasis | >4000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,127 | +$95 +3.0% | 2 |
| 449d | Chalasis2 fills | >3800 | BuyYes82¢ → 0¢ | $3,250 | −$3,250 −100% | 3 |
| 450d | nonkenny902 fills | >4000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,865 | +$145 +3.0% | 2 |
| 450d | 0xb68a…c568 | >3200 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,513 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 450d | >3800 | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $2,040 | −$2,040 −100% | 3 | |
| 451d | >3800 | BuyYes56¢ → 0¢ | $1,796 | −$1,796 −100% | 3 | |
| 451d | 0xb68a…c568 | >2400 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,060 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 451d | 0xb68a…c568 | >2000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,364 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 451d | 0xb68a…c5683 fills | >1800 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,594 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 452d | winnerwinnerwinner | >3600 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$450 +18% | 3 |
| 452d | >4000 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,528 | +$672 +27% | 3 | |
| 452d | 0x5b33d206a9bca5ee2e659711ff4697a39f4a | >3400 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,161 | +$132 +4.2% | 2 |
| 453d | Chalasis2 fills | >3600 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $3,426 | +$1,200 +35% | 2 |
| 454d | GeoPolArb | >3400 | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,277 | −$158 −12% | — |
| 454d | Chalasis | >2400 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,413 | −$23 −1.6% | — |
| 455d | >3600 | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,068 | −$1,068 −100% | 3 | |
| 455d | Chalasis | >3400 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$586 +23% | 2 |
| 455d | >2600 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,391 | +$125 +2.0% | 2 | |
| 456d | mightyocean | >3400 | SellNo24¢ → 0¢ | $1,473 | +$1,473 +100% | — |
| 456d | mightyocean | >3400 | BuyNo33¢ → 0¢ | $2,026 | −$2,026 −100% | 4 |
| 456d | jamaicanlover | >3400 | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 2 |
| 459d | jamaicanlover | >3400 | SellNo15¢ → 0¢ | $1,819 | +$1,819 +100% | — |
| 459d | >3400 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $14,761 | +$7,041 +48% | 2 | |
| 460d | >3600 | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $6,849 | +$5,603 +82% | 2 | |
| 460d | chambi | >3600 | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $1,999 | −$1,999 −100% | 4 |
| 460d | >3600 | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $12,028 | +$6,839 +57% | 2 | |
| 460d | kekw | >3400 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$625 +25% | 2 |
| 460d | >3200 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $9,911 | +$3,174 +32% | 2 | |
| 460d | >3400 | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $14,175 | +$7,973 +56% | 2 | |
| 462d | lnarix | >2800 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,448 | −$260 −7.5% | — |
| 463d | KobeT2 fills | >2600 | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $8,613 | −$4,266 −50% | — |
| 464d | >3400 | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $3,296 | −$3,296 −100% | 2 | |
| 464d | >3200 | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,903 | +$1,217 +64% | 2 | |
| 464d | >2800 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $8,216 | +$2,016 +25% | 2 | |
| 466d | >2800 | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $3,927 | −$1,475 −38% | — | |
| 467d | >2800 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $3,917 | +$1,679 +43% | 2 | |
| 469d | >2400 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $13,096 | +$1,567 +12% | 2 | |
| 469d | >2200 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $9,548 | +$502 +5.3% | 2 | |
| 470d | >2600 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,952 | +$698 +24% | 2 | |
| 470d | >2400 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,348 | +$291 +8.7% | 2 | |
| 471d | lnarix | >2800 | BuyYes37¢ → 100¢ | $1,372 | +$2,336 +170% | 3 |
| 475d | KobeT | >2600 | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $6,089 | +$6,791 +112% | 3 |
| 476d | peperonison2 fills | >2800 | SellYes28¢ → 100¢ | $3,005 | −$7,546 −251% | — |
| 476d | peperonison2 fills | >2800 | BuyYes34¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$6,387 +194% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 31 July '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the outcome title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No" The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for >3800 means the market gives it about 0%.