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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4,500 | 100% | +73 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 4,600 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4,400 | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 4,700 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4,300 | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 4,200 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 4,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 3,800 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 3,900 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 4,800 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4,100 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 406d | Chalasis | 4,200 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,314 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 406d | Chalasis | 4,300 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,080 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 406d | AZwater | 4,600 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,090 | +$30 +1.0% | 2 |
| 406d | Sharky6999 | 4,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,720 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 406d |  noreasapa | 4,200 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 406d | AZwater6 fills | 4,700 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $32,702 | +$379 +1.2% | 2 |
| 406d | FaceTissue2 fills | 4,500 | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $4,729 | −$648 −14% | — |
| 406d | FaceTissue6 fills | 4,500 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $16,394 | +$1,417 +8.6% | 3 |
| 406d | Stevevz | 4,500 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | −$91 −8.7% | — |
| 406d |  brockthebaby7 fills | 4,600 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $12,338 | +$2,737 +22% | 3 |
| 406d | easyclap2 fills | 4,500 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $2,252 | +$606 +27% | 4 |
| 406d | AZwater | 4,800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,111 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 406d | AZwater | 4,300 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,108 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 406d | AZwater | 4,200 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,108 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 406d |  coinman29 fills | 4,600 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $18,769 | +$1,158 +6.2% | 2 |
| 407d | easyclap2 fills | 4,500 | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $2,880 | −$2,880 −100% | 7 |
| 407d | exceeding2 fills | 4,600 | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,578 | −$922 −26% | — |
| 407d | meepy | 4,400 | SellNo7¢ → 0¢ | $1,108 | +$1,108 +100% | — |
| 407d | 0xb68a…c5682 fills | 4,400 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,822 | +$404 +14% | 3 |
| 407d | meepy | 4,400 | BuyNo13¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 9 |
| 407d |  DiamondPug | 4,500 | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,173 | −$782 −67% | — |
| 407d | exceeding | 4,400 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$180 +14% | 3 |
| 407d | aadvark | 4,600 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | +$270 +22% | 3 |
| 407d | nonkenny904 fills | 4,700 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,689 | +$103 +1.3% | 2 |
| 407d | nonkenny90 | 4,200 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,493 | +$62 +4.2% | 2 |
| 407d | Benhdz2025 | 4,400 | SellYes41¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | −$1,449 −144% | — |
| 407d | brockthebaby2 fills | 4,700 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,608 | +$162 +4.5% | 2 |
| 407d | brockthebaby8 fills | 4,500 | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $15,965 | −$15,965 −100% | 3 |
| 408d | Chalasis | 4,300 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,666 | +$416 +25% | 3 |
| 408d | coinman22 fills | 4,300 | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $4,014 | +$2,254 +56% | 3 |
| 408d | 6968 | 4,400 | SellNo43¢ → 0¢ | $1,161 | +$1,161 +100% | — |
| 408d | 6968 | 4,600 | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,343 | −$357 −27% | — |
| 408d | 6968 | 4,500 | SellNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,997 | +$1,997 +100% | — |
| 408d | brockthebaby4 fills | 4,300 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $11,154 | +$2,994 +27% | 3 |
| 408d | brockthebaby6 fills | 4,500 | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $9,599 | +$14,551 +152% | 8 |
| 408d | brockthebaby | 4,200 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,643 | +$317 +8.7% | 2 |
| 408d | brockthebaby6 fills | 4,400 | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $12,647 | +$8,430 +67% | 3 |
| 410d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | 4,400 | BuyYes37¢ → 100¢ | $2,315 | +$3,943 +170% | 5 |
| 412d | kingofcoinflips | 4,200 | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$1,140 +61% | 3 |
Mars92061 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 4,500 means the market gives it about 100%.