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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4,100 | 100% | +30 pts | +44 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 4,200 | 0% | −33 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4,300 | 0% | −8 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4,400 | 0% | −2 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4,000 | 100% | +6 pts | +32 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 3,800 | 100% | +1 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 3,700 | 100% | +1 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 3,900 | 100% | +3 pts | +22 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 4,500 | 0% | −3 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4,600 | 0% | −3 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4,700 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 388d | bigzuree | 4,300 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,024 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 388d | MotherMarywithus | 4,200 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 388d | bigzuree | 4,300 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,019 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 388d | prayer2008 | 4,300 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 389d | easyclap5 fills | 4,200 | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $10,474 | +$9,863 +94% | 4 |
| 389d | easyclap4 fills | 4,200 | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $8,050 | −$8,050 −100% | 8 |
| 389d | KodyST.2 fills | 4,100 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $10,336 | +$768 +7.4% | 2 |
| 389d | KodyST. | 4,100 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,245 | −$282 −5.4% | — |
| 389d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | 4,200 | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$1,980 +100% | 4 |
| 389d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | 4,200 | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $1,742 | −$1,742 −100% | 5 |
| 389d | KodyST. | 4,300 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,090 | −$330 −6.5% | — |
| 389d | KodyST. | 4,300 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,113 | +$307 +6.0% | 2 |
| 389d |  Loser-Boy | 4,100 | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,392 | −$190 −14% | — |
| 389d | lizhongbin1224 | 4,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,930 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 389d | RothschildVIII | 4,100 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$101 +8.7% | 3 |
| 389d |  Miffffy | 4,100 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $7,468 | +$794 +11% | 3 |
| 389d | nonkenny90 | 4,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,786 | +$114 +6.4% | 2 |
| 393d | aadvark | 4,400 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,944 | −$181 −6.2% | — |
| 394d |  brockthebaby | 3,800 | BuyNo29¢ → 0¢ | $1,148 | −$1,148 −100% | 3 |
| 394d | brockthebaby | 3,900 | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,346 | −$1,346 −100% | 3 |
Mockingjay408 shares
Westoy360 shares
2000ihg264 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 4,100 means the market gives it about 100%.