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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 4? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $1,678 | +$47 +2.8% | 2 |
| 112d | gobblewobble | Ethereum Up or Down on July 4? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $1,946 | +$291 +15% | 3 |
| 112d | fred4332 | Ethereum Up or Down on July 4? | SellUp88¢ → 100¢ | $1,294 | −$171 −13% | — |
| 112d |  HaileyWelch | Ethereum Up or Down on July 4? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$107 +7.5% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.