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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 368d | PNL20026 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 21? | SellUp94¢ → 100¢ | $1,274 | −$83 −6.5% | — |
| 368d | exceeding2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on October 21? | SellUp94¢ → 100¢ | $5,640 | −$360 −6.4% | — |
| 368d | ArbHedge | Ethereum Up or Down on October 21? | SellUp86¢ → 100¢ | $1,536 | −$250 −16% | — |
| 368d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 21? | BuyUp25¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$4,455 +300% | 6 |
| 368d |  coinman2 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 21? | BuyUp25¢ → 100¢ | $1,294 | +$3,986 +308% | 6 |
| 368d | exceeding9 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on October 21? | SellDown94¢ → 0¢ | $19,762 | +$19,762 +100% | — |
| 368d | coinman22 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on October 21? | BuyDown67¢ → 0¢ | $6,710 | −$6,710 −100% | 4 |
| 368d | lowrisk24 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 21? | BuyDown94¢ → 0¢ | $2,823 | −$2,823 −100% | 2 |
| 368d | adjiuahdf | Ethereum Up or Down on October 21? | BuyDown91¢ → 0¢ | $1,028 | −$1,028 −100% | 3 |
| 368d | exceeding5 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on October 21? | BuyDown84¢ → 0¢ | $8,446 | −$8,446 −100% | 3 |
| 368d | phoku24 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on October 21? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $8,647 | +$8,180 +95% | 3 |
| 368d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 21? | BuyDown47¢ → 0¢ | $2,456 | −$2,456 −100% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 20 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 21 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 20 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 21 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.