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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 385d | lowrisk24 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 3? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,841 | +$47 +1.2% | 2 |
| 385d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c203 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on October 3? | BuyUp72¢ → 100¢ | $6,205 | +$2,460 +40% | 4 |
| 385d | yuandufushu | Ethereum Up or Down on October 3? | BuyUp73¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$1,458 +36% | 4 |
| 385d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 3? | BuyDown32¢ → 0¢ | $1,584 | −$1,584 −100% | 6 |
| 385d | kingofcoinflips4 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on October 3? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $15,350 | +$4,650 +30% | 4 |
| 385d | 1955-8888 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 3? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $2,202 | +$658 +30% | 4 |
| 385d | amused852 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on October 3? | BuyDown29¢ → 0¢ | $2,190 | −$2,190 −100% | 7 |
| 385d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on October 3? | BuyDown36¢ → 0¢ | $4,234 | −$4,234 −100% | 8 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 2 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 3 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 2 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 3 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.