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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 100% | +24 pts | +33 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Austria | 100% | +4 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Malta | 0% | −22 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Finland | 0% | −85 pts | −72 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Israel | 100% | +22 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Switzerland | 100% | +36 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Albania | 100% | +23 pts | +39 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sweden | 100% | +2 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 100% | +52 pts | +41 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Poland | 0% | −26 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Greece | 100% | +66 pts | +83 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Germany | 0% | −18 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Portugal | 0% | −8 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| San Marino | 0% | −8 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norway | 0% | −13 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Netherlands | 0% | −82 pts | −76 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spain | 0% | −8 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| United Kingdom | 0% | −7 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Montenegro | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Belgium | 0% | −33 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland | 0% | −8 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Italy | 100% | +65 pts | +75 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Georgia | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Armenia | 0% | −8 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg | 0% | −10 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| France | 100% | +6 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lithuania | 0% | −14 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Denmark | 0% | −8 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Croatia | 0% | −3 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Latvia | 0% | −11 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ireland | 0% | −5 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Australia | 0% | −18 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Czechia | 0% | −17 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Azerbaijan | 0% | −4 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Serbia | 0% | −4 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cyprus | 0% | −15 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Slovenia | 0% | −7 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 524d | Drowerz | Albania | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 524d | cocoandcoco | Latvia | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,360 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 524d |  duderr | Malta | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,078 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 524d | affs20791 | Finland | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,105 | +$85 +2.1% | 4 |
| 524d |  AgricultureSecretary | Netherlands | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,857 | +$128 +4.5% | 4 |
| 524d | meropi | Malta | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,179 | +$59 +5.0% | 4 |
| 524d | rbczz2 fills | Germany | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,320 | +$577 +17% | 4 |
| 524d | meropi | Denmark | SellNo>99¢ | $1,307 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 524d | rbczz | Denmark | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,666 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 524d | meropi | Denmark | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,436 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 524d | rbczz | Armenia | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,642 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 524d | rbczz2 fills | Portugal | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,338 | +$33 +0.4% | 4 |
| 524d | rbczz | Iceland | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,390 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 524d |  nnimrodd | Finland | SellYes82¢ → 0¢ | $2,425 | +$2,425 +100% | — |
| 524d |  BuckMySalls2 fills | Estonia | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $5,474 | +$2,245 +41% | 6 |
| 524d | affs207914 fills | Estonia | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $9,875 | +$2,325 +24% | 4 |
| 524d | 0xafEe2 | Israel | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,044 | +$611 +30% | 4 |
| 524d | affs207913 fills | Finland | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $10,791 | −$10,791 −100% | 4 |
| 524d | pkz | Switzerland | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$740 +59% | 4 |
| 524d | ChocolateSmoothie | Iceland | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,668 | +$342 +20% | 4 |
| 524d | EasyBread | Germany | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$258 +24% | 4 |
| 524d | rbczz3 fills | Spain | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $9,615 | +$1,858 +19% | 4 |
| 524d | OddsOverlord | Estonia | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 524d | RONNEVO | Malta | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,002 | −$1,002 −100% | 4 |
| 524d | whoknoes2 fills | Portugal | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,121 | +$254 +6.2% | 4 |
| 524d |  loser-342 | Austria | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,319 | +$28 +2.2% | 4 |
| 524d | tiburon3 fills | Greece | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $8,545 | −$8,545 −100% | 9 |
| 524d |  HowToBasic | Sweden | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,888 | −$49 −2.6% | — |
| 524d |  Sivert | Austria | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,875 | +$125 +2.6% | 4 |
| 524d | Barcafanboy4 fills | Albania | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $9,418 | −$9,418 −100% | 12 |
| 524d | Barcafanboy | Netherlands | BuyNo20¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$8,000 +400% | 8 |
| 524d | Barcafanboy | Greece | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $3,790 | −$3,790 −100% | 4 |
| 524d | Kapii | Israel | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,713 | +$455 +27% | 4 |
| 524d |  UwO2 fills | Austria | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,686 | +$189 +2.5% | 4 |
| 524d | UwO | France | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$72 +2.7% | 4 |
| 525d | nnimrodd | Finland | BuyYes88¢ → 0¢ | $1,831 | −$1,831 −100% | 8 |
| 525d | zerozerozerozero | Armenia | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | +$71 +6.1% | 6 |
| 525d | zerozerozerozero | Portugal | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,226 | +$87 +7.1% | 6 |
| 525d | affs207918 fills | Austria | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $15,567 | +$1,361 +8.7% | 4 |
| 525d | AZwater | Austria | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,944 | +$81 +4.2% | 5 |
| 525d | LesSontag | Estonia | BuyNo23¢ → 0¢ | $1,609 | −$1,609 −100% | 16 |
| 525d | affs20791 | Denmark | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,716 | +$111 +6.5% | 6 |
| 525d | rbczz4 fills | Norway | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $12,586 | +$2,064 +16% | 4 |
| 525d |  carbonite | Netherlands | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $3,301 | −$3,301 −100% | 8 |
| 525d | zerozerozerozero | Greece | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $2,310 | −$2,310 −100% | 10 |
| 525d | tiburon | Luxembourg | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$220 +12% | 7 |
| 526d | Sweg | Norway | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$200 +11% | 6 |
| 526d | Immense-Literate | Estonia | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $1,350 | −$1,350 −100% | 10 |
| 526d | Drowerz2 fills | Albania | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $3,141 | +$1,859 +59% | 4 |
| 526d | Ironclad-Mission | Austria | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,298 | +$98 +7.5% | 5 |
| 526d |  LinaBell | Austria | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$102 +7.5% | 5 |
| 526d | 911TurboS | Georgia | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,315 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 526d | 911TurboS | Serbia | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,464 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 526d | 911TurboS | Ireland | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,683 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 526d | Vulpe1 | Georgia | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,093 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 526d | 911TurboS | Montenegro | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,604 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 526d | AgricultureSecretary | Georgia | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,892 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 526d |  mantou11 | Montenegro | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,924 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 526d | AgricultureSecretary | Ireland | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 526d |  LEONIDOVITCH1983 | Australia | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | +$186 +14% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2025 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2025, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Estonia means the market gives it about 100%.