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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | 0% | −47 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia | 100% | +60 pts | +74 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Israel | 100% | +62 pts | +40 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Finland | 0% | −58 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Austria | 100% | +21 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sweden | 100% | +6 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Portugal | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Germany | 0% | −2 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| France | 0% | −67 pts | −60 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Montenegro | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spain | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Denmark | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 0% | −8 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norway | 0% | −5 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Armenia | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Poland | 0% | −6 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Australia | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Greece | 0% | −8 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Albania | 0% | −28 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iceland | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Switzerland | 0% | −22 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| San Marino | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Italy | 100% | +92 pts | +93 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Malta | 0% | −7 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Latvia | 0% | −3 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| United Kingdom | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg | 0% | −5 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Azerbaijan | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Slovenia | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lithuania | 0% | −4 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Serbia | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Croatia | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ireland | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Czechia | 0% | −5 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Georgia | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Belgium | 0% | −15 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cyprus | 0% | −4 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 523d | bobosinabov | Austria | SellYes>99¢ | $1,041 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 523d | kaj43 | Estonia | SellYes>99¢ | $13,986 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 523d | 911TurboS | Spain | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,029 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 523d | GenesisG802 fills | Austria | SellYes>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 523d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | Germany | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 523d |  noreasapa | Germany | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,884 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 523d | nftkinggggg | Estonia | SellYes>99¢ | $1,081 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 523d | Davdrx | Estonia | SellYes>99¢ | $1,453 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 523d |  mombil | Estonia | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,049 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 523d | cocoandcoco | Iceland | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,039 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 523d | cocoandcoco | Ukraine | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,294 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 523d | cocoandcoco | San Marino | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,480 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 523d | cocoandcoco | Norway | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,533 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 523d | cocoandcoco | Lithuania | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,819 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 523d |  duderr | Portugal | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,202 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 523d | cocoandcoco | Luxembourg | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,600 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 523d | cocoandcoco | Armenia | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,574 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 523d |  beigesun | Norway | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 523d | beigesun | Denmark | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,866 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 523d |  Rasalgethi | Armenia | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,198 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 523d | Rasalgethi | Greece | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,526 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 523d | beigesun | Latvia | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,374 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 523d | beigesun | Israel | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,333 | +$64 +1.0% | 4 |
| 523d |  roadmapper | Israel | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,700 | +$51 +1.1% | 4 |
| 523d | rbczz | United Kingdom | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,953 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 523d | rbczz2 fills | Malta | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,361 | +$544 +5.8% | 4 |
| 523d | rbczz | Germany | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,044 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 523d | rbczz | Poland | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,242 | +$15 +0.2% | 4 |
| 523d | rbczz | Spain | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,769 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 523d |  endo2 | Estonia | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,559 | −$366 −23% | — |
| 523d | tiburon4 fills | Spain | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $17,568 | +$956 +5.4% | 5 |
| 524d | whoknoes | Latvia | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | +$24 +2.0% | 4 |
| 524d | ChocolateSmoothie | France | BuyNo29¢ → 100¢ | $1,653 | +$4,093 +248% | 6 |
| 524d | SaylorMoon | Israel | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,450 | −$1,450 −100% | 4 |
| 524d |  BuckMySalls | Israel | SellYes35¢ → 100¢ | $2,077 | −$3,857 −186% | — |
| 524d | tiburon2 fills | Poland | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,948 | +$318 +6.4% | 4 |
| 524d | Kapii | Austria | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$293 +28% | 4 |
| 524d | AJM96 | Israel | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $6,023 | −$6,023 −100% | 4 |
| 524d | tiburon2 fills | Estonia | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $2,973 | −$2,973 −100% | 12 |
| 524d |  UwO | Sweden | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$160 +3.2% | 4 |
| 524d | zerozerozerozero2 fills | Greece | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,113 | +$286 +5.6% | 6 |
| 524d | Zairic | Netherlands | SellYes43¢ → 0¢ | $12,474 | +$12,474 +100% | — |
| 524d | Krezira | Netherlands | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $16,246 | +$12,765 +79% | 14 |
| 524d | Winninghumbly | Latvia | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,970 | +$51 +2.6% | 5 |
| 524d | Winninghumbly | Portugal | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,593 | +$22 +1.4% | 4 |
| 524d | 0184741l | Albania | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $2,841 | +$1,052 +37% | 13 |
| 524d | rbczz2 fills | Estonia | SellYes33¢ → 100¢ | $4,346 | −$8,727 −201% | — |
| 524d | xbsuwrkfmdl372 fills | Germany | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,874 | +$37 +1.3% | 4 |
| 524d | xbsuwrkfmdl372 fills | Spain | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,607 | +$39 +1.5% | 4 |
| 524d | rbczz | France | BuyNo34¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | +$2,227 +195% | 12 |
| 525d |  Sivert | Austria | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $5,936 | +$1,266 +21% | 9 |
| 525d | pkz2 fills | Netherlands | BuyNo47¢ → 100¢ | $3,008 | +$3,390 +113% | 5 |
| 525d | tiburon | Finland | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $2,135 | +$1,485 +70% | 12 |
| 525d | Sweg | Finland | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $2,065 | +$1,435 +69% | 9 |
| 525d | rbczz3 fills | Finland | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $9,516 | +$4,957 +52% | 4 |
| 525d | rbczz | San Marino | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$27 +2.4% | 4 |
| 525d | Winninghumbly | Iceland | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,454 | +$38 +2.6% | 4 |
| 525d | Winninghumbly | Armenia | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,473 | +$40 +2.7% | 4 |
| 525d | Winninghumbly | Denmark | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$103 +2.1% | 4 |
| 525d | Lanze | Finland | SellYes42¢ → 0¢ | $12,653 | +$12,653 +100% | — |
TimeTraveler3,080 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2025 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2025, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Netherlands means the market gives it about 0%.