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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 150+ | 100% | +94 pts | +96 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <25 | 0% | −20 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25-49 | 0% | −32 pts | −34 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50-74 | 0% | −23 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 75-99 | 0% | −9 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-124 | 0% | −6 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 125-149 | 0% | −5 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160d | mewonigalsk | 150+ | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | +$283 +28% | 4 |
| 160d | mewonigalsk | 125-149 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 161d | backspin2 | <25 | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $2,285 | −$2,285 −100% | 8 |
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 150+ means the market gives it about 100%.