itsjustcheddar

Polymarket wallet 0x2a315a8d15cfde768bcd47ba5cacf3ef5894f2f0 · on Polymarket since Feb 2, 2025 · also shown as Cumbersome-Circulation

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $2.31K
All-time profit: +$8.52K
Volume traded: $2.82M
All-time rank: #17,007
Markets traded: 15,807
Recent hit rate: 68%34 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $2.3K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended	Yes	330	22¢ → 79¢	$259	+$187 +259%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 16d	Yes	110	50¢ → 91¢	$100	+$45 +81%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	542	47¢ → 17¢	$92	−$162 −64%
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Ends in 4d	Yes	220	32¢ → 42¢	$91	+$21 +30%
Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended	No	70	>99¢ → >99¢	$70	+$0 +0.2%
Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended	No	70	>99¢ → >99¢	$70	+$0 +0.2%
Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended	No	70	>99¢ → >99¢	$70	+$0 +0.2%
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended	No	70	66¢ → >99¢	$70	+$24 +51%
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended	No	70	>99¢ → >99¢	$70	+$0 +0.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat?Ends in 16d	Yes	72	50¢ → 96¢	$69	+$33 +92%
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?Ends in 4d	Yes	86	33¢ → 58¢	$50	+$22 +78%
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d	No	50	>99¢ → >99¢	$50	+$0 +0.2%
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d	No	50	>99¢ → >99¢	$50	+$0 +0.4%
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d	No	50	97¢ → >99¢	$50	+$2 +3.1%
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended	No	50	93¢ → >99¢	$50	+$3 +7.5%
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	67	50¢ → 69¢	$46	+$12 +37%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended	Yes	50	17¢ → 90¢	$45	+$37 +441%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 74d	Yes	60	50¢ → 67¢	$40	+$10 +34%
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 105d	Yes	41	50¢ → 91¢	$37	+$17 +81%
Will the Liberals (L) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem	No	30	>99¢ → 100¢	$30	+$0 +0.2%
Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem	No	30	>99¢ → 100¢	$30	+$0 +0.1%
Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem	No	30	>99¢ → 100¢	$30	+$0 +0.1%
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem	No	30	90¢ → 100¢	$30	+$3 +11%
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem	No	30	>99¢ → 100¢	$30	+$0 +0.2%
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem	No	30	98¢ → 100¢	$30	+$1 +2.5%
Will the Centre Party (C) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem	No	30	>99¢ → 100¢	$30	+$0 +0.1%
Will the Left Party (V) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem	No	30	100¢ → 100¢	$30	+$0 +0.5%
Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat?Ends in 16d	No	30	75¢ → 98¢	$29	+$7 +31%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?Ends in 16d	No	30	82¢ → 96¢	$29	+$4 +17%
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d	No	51	64¢ → 52¢	$26	−$6 −20%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended	Yes	114	13¢ → 21¢	$23	+$9 +58%
Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?Settled - ready to redeem	No	20	91¢ → 100¢	$20	+$2 +9.3%
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?Settled - ready to redeem	No	20	43¢ → 100¢	$20	+$11 +133%
Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?Ends in 164d	No	20	>99¢ → >99¢	$20	+$0 +0.3%
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Ends ended	No	20	52¢ → 99¢	$20	+$9 +91%
Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 8d	Yes	30	36¢ → 66¢	$20	+$9 +83%
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Ends ended	No	20	98¢ → 98¢	$20	+$0 +0.4%
Will MUNDO-GB  win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Ends ended	No	20	96¢ → 97¢	$19	+$0 +1.3%
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Ends ended	No	20	95¢ → 95¢	$19	+$0 +0.3%
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d	No	20	81¢ → 94¢	$19	+$3 +16%
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Ends ended	No	20	52¢ → 89¢	$18	+$7 +72%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d	No	30	69¢ → 60¢	$18	−$3 −14%
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Ends ended	No	20	97¢ → 81¢	$16	−$3 −17%
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	206	50¢ → 7¢	$14	−$89 −86%
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 86 to 95 km/h in October?Ends in 13d	Yes	20	36¢ → 63¢	$13	+$5 +74%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d	No	30	30¢ → 40¢	$12	+$3 +32%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 74d	No	11	91¢ → 99¢	$11	+$1 +9.3%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 74d	No	11	80¢ → 99¢	$11	+$2 +24%
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?Ends in 21d	Yes	30	25¢ → 35¢	$10	+$3 +38%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 164d	No	10	67¢ → >99¢	$10	+$3 +49%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 9?Settled - ready to redeem	No	10	>99¢ → 100¢	$10	+$0 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 9?Settled - ready to redeem	No	10	79¢ → 100¢	$10	+$2 +27%
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 74d	No	10	96¢ → >99¢	$10	+$0 +4.0%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 164d	No	10	86¢ → >99¢	$10	+$1 +16%
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 74d	No	10	94¢ → >99¢	$10	+$1 +5.7%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 105d	Yes	23	50¢ → 44¢	$10	−$1 −13%
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 164d	Yes	10	50¢ → 99¢	$10	+$5 +98%
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?Ends in 21d	Yes	30	26¢ → 33¢	$10	+$2 +25%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 16d	Yes	99	0¢ → 9¢	$8	+$8 +0.0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 74d	No	8	98¢ → >99¢	$8	+$0 +1.7%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 74d	No	8	96¢ → >99¢	$8	+$0 +3.9%
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?Ends in 23h	Yes	20	29¢ → 38¢	$8	+$2 +29%
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Ends in 74d	No	180	48¢ → 4¢	$7	−$79 −91%
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 96 km/h or above in October?Ends in 13d	Yes	20	40¢ → 37¢	$7	−$1 −8.8%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d	No	10	36¢ → 73¢	$7	+$4 +101%
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d	No	7	98¢ → 98¢	$7	+$0 +0.1%
Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 8d	Yes	30	17¢ → 22¢	$6	+$1 +28%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 16d	No	10	26¢ → 64¢	$6	+$4 +144%
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d	No	7	82¢ → 90¢	$6	+$0 +8.7%
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d	No	7	90¢ → 87¢	$6	−$0 −2.5%
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d	No	7	88¢ → 77¢	$5	−$1 −12%
Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?Ends in 21d	Yes	30	9¢ → 18¢	$5	+$3 +100%
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d	No	6	87¢ → 89¢	$5	+$0 +1.3%
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d	No	7	92¢ → 76¢	$5	−$1 −18%
Will China’s CPI increase by between 1.1% and 1.2% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?Ends in 21d	Yes	30	18¢ → 17¢	$5	−$0 −8.3%
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d	No	10	34¢ → 49¢	$5	+$1 +43%
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 105d	Yes	51	0¢ → 9¢	$5	+$5 +0.0%
Will the Republican Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 16d	Yes	20	21¢ → 24¢	$5	+$1 +12%
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 74d	No	10	56¢ → 45¢	$5	−$1 −20%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended	Yes	50	17¢ → 9¢	$4	−$4 −49%
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?Ends in 23h	Yes	21	14¢ → 20¢	$4	+$1 +43%
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	7	50¢ → 52¢	$4	+$0 +4.0%
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?Ends in 4d	Yes	1,141	<1¢ → <1¢	$3	+$2 +200%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 74d	No	3	97¢ → >99¢	$3	+$0 +3.2%
Will UTJ win 9-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 8d	Yes	30	30¢ → 10¢	$3	−$6 −67%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 751d	Yes	20	50¢ → 15¢	$3	−$7 −70%
Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 16d	No	3	93¢ → 97¢	$3	+$0 +4.2%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysEnds in 8d	Tampa Bay Rays	5	57¢ → 56¢	$3	−$0 −0.9%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d	No	10	63¢ → 28¢	$3	−$4 −56%
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 83% to 84%?Ends in 23h	Yes	20	9¢ → 14¢	$3	+$1 +51%
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 82% to 83%?Ends in 23h	Yes	20	28¢ → 14¢	$3	−$3 −52%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysEnds in 8d	Cleveland Guardians	5	43¢ → 44¢	$2	+$0 +1.2%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysEnds in 9d	Cleveland Guardians	5	45¢ → 43¢	$2	−$0 −4.4%
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor <82%?Ends in 23h	Yes	21	13¢ → 9¢	$2	−$1 −25%
Will the Republican Party and Democratic Party hold the same number of governorships after the midterms?Ends in 16d	Yes	20	13¢ → 9¢	$2	−$1 −31%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?Ends in 16d	No	30	16¢ → 5¢	$2	−$3 −66%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 751d	Yes	50	0¢ → 3¢	$1	+$1 +0.0%
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d	No	20	18¢ → 7¢	$1	−$2 −64%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 751d	No	3	46¢ → 37¢	$1	−$0 −21%
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?Ends in 16d	No	30	23¢ → 3¢	$1	−$6 −85%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
53s	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	BuyCleveland Guardians43¢	$2
1h	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	BuyTampa Bay Rays57¢	$3
6h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays53¢	$3
7h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays54¢	$3
7h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays54¢	$3
14h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians44¢	$1
14h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians44¢	$1
17h	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	BuyCleveland Guardians45¢	$2
19h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays55¢	$3
20h	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	BuyTampa Bay Rays55¢	$3
21h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians44¢	$2
21h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays55¢	$3
21h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians44¢	$1
21h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians44¢	$0
21h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians44¢	$1
21h	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	BuyCleveland Guardians45¢	$2
22h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays54¢	$3
22h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays55¢	$3
22h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians43¢	$2
22h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays55¢	$3
22h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians42¢	$2
22h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians42¢	$2
22h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians42¢	$2
22h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians42¢	$2
22h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays54¢	$3
22h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians42¢	$2
22h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians42¢	$2
22h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians43¢	$2
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays57¢	$3
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians42¢	$1
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians42¢	$1
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays54¢	$3
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians42¢	$2
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians42¢	$2
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians43¢	$2
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays57¢	$3
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians42¢	$2
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians42¢	$2
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays57¢	$1
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays57¢	$2
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays57¢	$1
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays58¢	$3
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays58¢	$3
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays57¢	$0
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays57¢	$2
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians42¢	$2
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays54¢	$2
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays55¢	$3
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays57¢	$3
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians43¢	$2
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians42¢	$2
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays57¢	$3
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians41¢	$2
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians42¢	$2
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays59¢	$3
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians41¢	$2
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays59¢	$3
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays58¢	$3
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyCleveland Guardians41¢	$2
23h	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	BuyTampa Bay Rays59¢	$3

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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