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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finland | 100% | +2 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Greece | 100% | +15 pts | +21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Denmark | 100% | +26 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Romania | 100% | +17 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| France | 0% | −61 pts | −79 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cyprus | 0% | −11 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Serbia | 0% | −10 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Australia | 100% | +5 pts | +26 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bulgaria | 100% | +25 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Italy | 100% | +41 pts | +28 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Croatia | 0% | −29 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 100% | +32 pts | +34 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Moldova | 100% | +44 pts | +71 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Israel | 100% | +8 pts | +18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Malta | 0% | −13 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Czechia | 0% | −27 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sweden | 0% | −27 pts | −61 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Poland | 0% | −9 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lithuania | 0% | −6 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norway | 0% | −9 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Albania | 0% | −30 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Germany | 0% | −3 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Belgium | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| United Kingdom | 0% | −4 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia | 0% | −5 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg | 0% | −3 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Switzerland | 0% | −5 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Austria | 0% | −3 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Azerbaijan | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Armenia | 0% | −4 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| San Marino | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Montenegro | 0% | −3 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Portugal | 0% | −5 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Georgia | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Latvia | 0% | −3 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160d | Anothdirhshu | Denmark | SellYes>99¢ | $1,009 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | PrimeFrame | Greece | SellYes>99¢ | $2,577 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | PrimeFrame | Denmark | SellYes>99¢ | $2,703 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | Ikokoko | Denmark | SellYes>99¢ | $1,237 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 160d | zxc368 | Denmark | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,294 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 160d | Ehejjsbdbd | Australia | SellYes>99¢ | $2,095 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 160d | Donden | Australia | SellYes>99¢ | $1,070 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | zxc3682 fills | Greece | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,299 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | Vacant-TextbookNew account | Czechia | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,009 | −$11 −0.5% | — |
| 160d | zxc368 | Australia | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,806 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d |  okalright | Austria | SellNo>99¢ | $1,285 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | Pleased-IncompetenceNew account | Denmark | SellYes>99¢ | $1,408 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 160d | Dafu0715 | France | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,387 | +$28 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | Dafu0715 | Croatia | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,345 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d |  Flipadelphia | Sweden | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,337 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d |  mioki | France | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,296 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 160d | Flipadelphia | Albania | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,645 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | Dafu0715 | Moldova | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,139 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | ok2606 | Moldova | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,100 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 160d | Flipadelphia | Ukraine | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,139 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | Flipadelphia | Denmark | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,145 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | Ordon2 fills | Denmark | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,825 | +$16 +0.3% | 4 |
| 160d | ok2606 | Albania | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 160d | BrightStars | Israel | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,962 | +$21 +0.3% | 4 |
| 160d | Ic444 | Italy | SellYes>99¢ | $1,107 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 160d | gotozer0 | Romania | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,180 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | gotozer0 | Italy | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,578 | +$18 +0.2% | 4 |
| 160d | Banker26 | Denmark | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,668 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 160d |  PeterBee2 fills | Bulgaria | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,413 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | HMSMAD123 | Finland | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,819 | +$27 +0.3% | 4 |
| 160d |  Do-Not-Redeem2 fills | Romania | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $5,785 | +$1,242 +21% | 7 |
| 160d | amnesia12 | Ukraine | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,589 | −$32 −2.0% | — |
| 160d | Do-Not-Redeem2 fills | Ukraine | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,571 | +$398 +15% | 4 |
| 160d | mewonigalsk | Greece | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$918 +46% | 4 |
| 160d | mewonigalsk | France | BuyNo29¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$4,996 +250% | 7 |
| 160d | mewonigalsk | Denmark | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | +$44 +3.3% | 4 |
| 160d | mewonigalsk | Italy | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,403 | +$26 +1.8% | 4 |
| 160d | mewonigalsk | Albania | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
| 160d | mewonigalsk | Ukraine | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$114 +5.7% | 4 |
| 160d |  johannsi19 | Israel | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,838 | +$21 +1.1% | 4 |
| 160d | mewonigalsk | Moldova | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,466 | +$34 +2.3% | 4 |
| 160d | Lexma | Czechia | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$31 +3.1% | 4 |
| 160d |  NeoSay10 | Czechia | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,589 | +$16 +1.0% | 4 |
| 160d | mewonigalsk | Czechia | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$177 +8.8% | 4 |
| 160d | mewonigalsk | Croatia | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
| 160d | SnowLover7 | Sweden | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,436 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 |
| 160d | mewonigalsk | Cyprus | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | +$15 +1.1% | 4 |
| 160d |  TheGreekTraderPM | Belgium | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,121 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | mewonigalsk | Sweden | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,649 | +$18 +1.1% | 4 |
| 160d |  BookTrader | Czechia | BuyYes13¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 6 |
| 160d | PedroGonzales | France | BuyYes94¢ → 0¢ | $10,000 | −$10,000 −100% | 4 |
| 160d | johannsi19 | Bulgaria | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$11 +1.1% | 4 |
| 160d | Cute-EgoNew account | Romania | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | −$271 −23% | — |
| 160d | poli.monaco | France | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $1,489 | −$1,489 −100% | 4 |
| 160d | LeftieFTW | Israel | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,375 | −$125 −5.3% | — |
| 160d | tiburon2 fills | Poland | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,060 | +$373 +18% | 4 |
| 160d | notssf3 | United Kingdom | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,803 | +$44 +2.4% | 4 |
| 160d | oreola | Norway | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | +$174 +17% | 4 |
| 160d | Dafu07155 fills | Finland | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $45,186 | +$347 +0.8% | 4 |
| 160d | ColdMath5 fills | Malta | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $5,739 | +$940 +16% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Finland means the market gives it about 100%.