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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finland | 0% | −93 pts | −87 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Israel | 100% | +30 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Greece | 0% | −55 pts | −68 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Denmark | 0% | −39 pts | −57 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulgaria | 100% | +55 pts | +92 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Romania | 100% | +50 pts | +66 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Australia | 100% | +23 pts | +53 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Italy | 100% | +80 pts | +67 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 0% | −11 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| France | 0% | −20 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cyprus | 0% | −2 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Moldova | 0% | −15 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sweden | 0% | −9 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Albania | 0% | −9 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Serbia | 0% | −3 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Azerbaijan | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Germany | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Croatia | 0% | −4 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Malta | 0% | −3 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Poland | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Belgium | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norway | 0% | −5 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| United Kingdom | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lithuania | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Czechia | 0% | −6 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Switzerland | 0% | −3 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Armenia | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Austria | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Latvia | 0% | −2 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Portugal | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Georgia | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Montenegro | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| San Marino | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160d | zxc368 | Israel | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,224 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | Heler-095 | Romania | SellYes>99¢ | $1,403 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 160d | zxc3683 fills | Bulgaria | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,068 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | zxc3683 fills | Denmark | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,441 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 160d | Australia | SellYes>99¢ | $1,963 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 160d | Vacant-TextbookNew account | Denmark | SellNo>99¢ | $3,035 | −$14 −0.5% | — |
| 160d | artemsv | Australia | SellYes>99¢ | $1,207 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | meropi | France | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,337 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | meropi | Finland | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,864 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | Finland | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,311 | −$9 −0.7% | — | |
| 160d | Greece | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,776 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 160d | Cyprus | SellNo>99¢ | $1,149 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 160d | meropi | Denmark | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,348 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | zxc3682 fills | Moldova | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,687 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | zxc3682 fills | Finland | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,946 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | Trustinghorse | Ukraine | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,342 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | zxc368 | France | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,772 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 160d | zxc368 | Ukraine | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,863 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 160d | Denmark | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,108 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 160d | Moldova | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,109 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 160d | France | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,109 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 160d | Ukraine | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,215 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 160d | France | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,020 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 160d | Greece | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,998 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 160d | Moldova | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,159 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 160d | gotozer05 fills | Israel | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $20,848 | +$157 +0.8% | 4 |
| 160d | gotozer0 | Italy | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,910 | +$14 +0.2% | 4 |
| 160d | gotozer05 fills | Romania | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $17,014 | +$817 +4.8% | 4 |
| 160d | gotozer02 fills | Bulgaria | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,451 | +$18 +0.2% | 4 |
| 160d | End123 | Denmark | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,771 | +$58 +2.1% | 4 |
| 160d | Moldova | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,006 | +$41 +2.1% | 4 | |
| 160d | mewonigalsk | Moldova | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$71 +3.6% | 4 |
| 160d | mewonigalsk | Italy | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,970 | +$100 +5.1% | 4 |
| 160d | mewonigalsk | Romania | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,453 +73% | 4 |
| 160d | mewonigalsk | France | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$65 +3.3% | 4 |
| 160d | End123 | Norway | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,309 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | Malta | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,108 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 160d | SaylorMoon | Greece | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$22 +2.0% | 4 |
| 160d | Italy | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,532 | +$1,536 +100% | 4 | |
| 160d | SnowLover7 | Italy | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,067 | −$1,067 −100% | 4 |
| 160d | Alarmed-Controller | Bulgaria | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | −$100 −9.8% | — |
| 160d | Italy | SellNo76¢ → 0¢ | $2,830 | +$2,830 +100% | — | |
| 160d | Israel | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $9,615 | +$3,697 +38% | 11 | |
| 160d | ColdMath | Italy | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $3,876 | −$3,876 −100% | 4 |
| 160d | Israel | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $3,394 | −$1,131 −33% | — | |
| 160d | ColdMath | Croatia | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,056 | +$86 +4.2% | 4 |
| 160d | ColdMath | Ukraine | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,670 | +$252 +15% | 4 |
| 160d | FHCHL | Cyprus | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,276 | +$12 +0.9% | 4 |
| 160d | Bulgaria | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $4,769 | +$4,069 +85% | 4 | |
| 160d | Bulgaria | BuyYes41¢ → 100¢ | $2,917 | +$4,158 +143% | 16 | |
| 160d | matanicos | Israel | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | +$371 +35% | 4 |
| 160d | neutralwave23 | Australia | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,153 | +$253 +22% | 4 |
| 160d | France | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | +$231 +22% | 4 | |
| 160d | Finland | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $1,470 | −$1,470 −100% | 4 | |
| 160d | Vacant-TextbookNew account | Denmark | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,959 | +$1,090 +56% | 19 |
| 160d | Finland | SellYes93¢ → 0¢ | $2,066 | +$2,066 +100% | — | |
| 160d | FHCHL | Malta | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$22 +2.0% | 4 |
| 160d | ColdMath5 fills | Albania | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $7,118 | +$461 +6.5% | 6 |
| 160d | rw-mehtape | Finland | BuyYes94¢ → 0¢ | $2,612 | −$2,612 −100% | 4 |
| 160d | skk1ch3 fills | Romania | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $6,270 | −$6,270 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Finland means the market gives it about 0%.