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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Kingdom | 100% | +62 pts | +73 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Albania | 0% | −1 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Australia | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Austria | 0% | −23 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Azerbaijan | 0% | — | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Belgium | 0% | −14 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulgaria | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Croatia | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cyprus | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Czechia | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Denmark | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia | 0% | −4 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Finland | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| France | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Georgia | 0% | −1 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Germany | 0% | −15 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Greece | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Israel | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Italy | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Latvia | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lithuania | 0% | −5 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Malta | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Moldova | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Montenegro | 0% | −2 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norway | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Poland | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Portugal | 0% | −2 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Romania | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| San Marino | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Serbia | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sweden | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Switzerland | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Armenia | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Country B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160d |  Flipadelphia | Norway | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | Flipadelphia | Serbia | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,830 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | Flipadelphia | Lithuania | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,190 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d |  Parz1vaI | Malta | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,617 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 160d | mewonigalsk | United Kingdom | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,251 | −$53 −1.0% | — |
| 160d |  Do-Not-Redeem | United Kingdom | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,513 | +$19 +1.3% | 4 |
| 160d | mewonigalsk | United Kingdom | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$304 +6.1% | 4 |
| 160d |  LeeBong-James | United Kingdom | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | +$287 +26% | 4 |
| 160d | tiburon5 fills | Germany | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $17,173 | +$3,001 +17% | 8 |
| 160d | cryplor | Germany | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$221 +18% | 4 |
| 161d |  LEONIDOVITCH1983 | Azerbaijan | SellNo>99¢ | $6,764 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 161d | QMG-SCALAR | Australia | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,068 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 162d | LEONIDOVITCH1983 | Azerbaijan | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,752 | +$14 +0.2% | 4 |
| 162d | Lexma | Latvia | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,763 | +$21 +1.2% | 4 |
| 163d | LEONIDOVITCH1983 | Estonia | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,463 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 163d | LEONIDOVITCH1983 | San Marino | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,268 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 163d | LEONIDOVITCH1983 | Montenegro | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,385 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 164d |  tomatosauce22 fills | Estonia | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,422 | +$37 +1.1% | 4 |
| 171d | OLOTH | Greece | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,404 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 171d | bathenay5 | Finland | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,839 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 208d | Warmhearted-Simvastatin | Finland | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,528 | +$25 +0.7% | 4 |
| 208d | Burdensome-Godmother | Finland | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,522 | +$25 +0.7% | 4 |
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final. If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for United Kingdom means the market gives it about 100%.