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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lando Norris | 100% | +81 pts | +69 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −52 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 0% | −21 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −4 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −4 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 454d | Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Oscar Piastri | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,035 | −$15 −0.5% | — |
| 454d | headach3 | Lando Norris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,234 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 454d | S-Works | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,313 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 454d |  chrisxyz | George Russell | SellNo>99¢ | $1,054 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 454d | elPolloLoco | George Russell | SellNo>99¢ | $1,261 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 454d | S-Works2 fills | Lando Norris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,635 | +$27 +1.0% | 4 |
| 454d | AJM96 | Lando Norris | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$204 +2.0% | 5 |
| 454d | Wonfo | George Russell | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,287 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 454d | iverson3-977 | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,875 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 454d | S-Works | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,564 | +$24 +1.5% | 4 |
| 454d | Wonfo | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,937 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 454d | pippero | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,225 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 454d | pippero | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,173 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 454d | Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo44¢ → 100¢ | $1,342 | +$1,708 +127% | 12 |
| 454d | AJM96 | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $3,417 | −$3,417 −100% | 12 |
| 454d | Arid-Hurdle | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,075 | +$79 +2.6% | 5 |
| 454d | chrisxyz | George Russell | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$21 +2.0% | 5 |
| 454d | 2548119 | Nico Hulkenberg | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,167 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the driver who achieves pole position at the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix, scheduled for July 27, 2025. If the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after August 14, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA’s official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to "Yes" for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Lando Norris means the market gives it about 100%.