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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Russell | 100% | +92 pts | +95 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −32 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −31 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 0% | −21 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −2 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 496d |  Tenebrus7 | George Russell | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 497d | Wonfo | George Russell | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,546 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 497d | TetyaIra | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,900 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 497d |  qweez1x | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,113 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 497d | Wonfo | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,944 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 497d | qwertyasdfghjkl | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,799 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 497d | qwertyasdfghjkl | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,465 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 497d |  Morbuu | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,387 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 497d | S-Works | Isack Hadjar | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,096 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 497d | SaylorMoon | Lando Norris | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $3,921 | −$3,921 −100% | 14 |
| 497d | affs20791 | George Russell | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,294 | −$1,294 −100% | 7 |
| 497d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | Fernando Alonso | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 497d | AZwater | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,954 | +$46 +1.6% | 4 |
| 498d | AZwater | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 498d | AZwater | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,667 | +$17 +1.0% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the driver who achieves pole position at the 2025 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for June 15, 2025. If the 2025 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after July 15, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA’s official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to "Yes" for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for George Russell means the market gives it about 100%.