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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 100% | +70 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 411d | XZZD | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 411d | XZZD | Charles Leclerc | SellNo>99¢ | $1,525 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 411d | XZZD | George Russell | SellNo>99¢ | $3,125 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 411d | hardnipst | Gabriel Bortoleto | SellNo>99¢ | $1,835 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 411d | hardnipst | Lewis Hamilton | SellNo>99¢ | $2,039 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 411d | hardnipst | Yuki Tsunoda | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 411d | hardnipst | Charles Leclerc | SellNo>99¢ | $3,596 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 411d | starboyd | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,427 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 411d |  scastro2303 | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,470 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 411d | d327 | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,498 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 411d | 210213k120-jr210j12t563h11 | Max Verstappen | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,348 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 411d |  Simbaaaa | Max Verstappen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,059 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 411d | Talrs | Max Verstappen | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,432 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 411d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | Max Verstappen | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,215 | +$53 +1.0% | 4 |
| 411d | MukuPuku | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,098 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 411d |  GurdFS | George Russell | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,877 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 411d | biggy | Max Verstappen | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,155 | +$32 +1.0% | 4 |
| 411d | Simbaaaa | Max Verstappen | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$53 +5.3% | 5 |
| 411d | 210213k120-jr210j12t563h11 | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,640 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 411d | scastro2303 | Max Verstappen | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,261 | +$172 +14% | 7 |
| 411d | mwenya4 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $7,222 | +$676 +9.4% | 6 |
| 411d | avithaker | Max Verstappen | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | +$255 +20% | 9 |
| 411d | Talrs | Max Verstappen | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$273 +27% | 10 |
| 411d | nicdan | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 411d | AJM962 fills | Lando Norris | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $5,230 | +$3,770 +72% | 12 |
| 411d | GurdFS | Alexander Albon | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,074 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 411d | Unruly-Elevator | Lando Norris | BuyNo45¢ → 100¢ | $3,565 | +$4,424 +124% | 12 |
| 411d | Unruly-Elevator | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $3,084 | +$925 +30% | 10 |
| 411d | avithaker | Lando Norris | BuyNo45¢ → 100¢ | $1,877 | +$2,294 +122% | 12 |
| 411d | Unruly-Elevator | Max Verstappen | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $2,408 | −$2,408 −100% | 11 |
| 411d | R0ndog | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | +$348 +30% | 10 |
| 411d | MrNGMI | Max Verstappen | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $4,365 | −$4,365 −100% | 12 |
| 411d |  gamblingdebt | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,144 | +$715 +33% | 11 |
| 411d |  z838r328hzr3erqrw | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $3,138 | +$1,103 +35% | 11 |
| 411d | nonkenny902 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,011 | +$139 +3.5% | 5 |
| 411d | hardnipst | Gabriel Bortoleto | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,835 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 411d | hardnipst | Yuki Tsunoda | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 411d | hardnipst | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,485 | +$115 +3.3% | 5 |
| 411d | hardnipst | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,038 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 411d | hardnipst | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,350 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 412d | kokokoto | Fernando Alonso | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,798 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 412d | XZZD | George Russell | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,095 | +$33 +1.1% | 4 |
| 412d | mwenya5 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $6,990 | −$6,990 −100% | 12 |
| 412d | 025d2 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,300 | +$187 +3.5% | 5 |
| 412d | avithaker2 fills | Max Verstappen | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $2,936 | −$2,936 −100% | 9 |
| 412d | affs207912 fills | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,077 | +$459 +5.1% | 5 |
| 412d | 0x5375…aeea | Oscar Piastri | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,450 | −$1,450 −100% | 9 |
| 412d | 210213k120-jr210j12t563h112 fills | Carlos Sainz | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,880 | +$22 +0.6% | 4 |
| 412d | oliman0 | Max Verstappen | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$2,673 +263% | 9 |
| 413d | Irresponsible-Pop | Lando Norris | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $3,200 | +$1,800 +56% | 9 |
| 413d | XZZD | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$16 +1.3% | 4 |
| 413d | Masterclass | Andrea Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,154 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 413d | Masterclass | Fernando Alonso | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,178 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 413d | Masterclass | Alexander Albon | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,149 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 413d |  Endgametheory | Lando Norris | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,055 | +$923 +45% | 9 |
| 414d |  sleepy-panda | George Russell | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$54 +5.3% | 4 |
| 414d | z838r328hzr3erqrw | Lando Norris | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $9,600 | +$5,400 +56% | 6 |
Anonymous123211,000 sharesThis is a polymarket on the winner of the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for September 7, 2025. If the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after September 30, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30–60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Max Verstappen means the market gives it about 100%.