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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | 100% | +95 pts | +92 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pierre Gasly | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Alonso | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Albon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergio Perez | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Charles Leclerc | 0% | −18 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Esteban Ocon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lando Norris | 0% | −5 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Max Verstappen | 0% | −5 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Franco Colapinto | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lewis Hamilton | 0% | −11 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oliver Bearman | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Piastri | 0% | −4 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Russell | 0% | −49 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isack Hadjar | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liam Lawson | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lance Stroll | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Driver E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47d | Pulpo94 | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $1,942 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 47d | Tobias1909 | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $15,612 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 47d | SplendidAmadeus | Max Verstappen | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 47d | SplendidAmadeus | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $3,690 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 47d |  boyau | George Russell | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,109 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 47d | PeterSagan | George Russell | SellNo>99¢ | $6,830 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 47d | Petty-Frame | Max Verstappen | SellNo>99¢ | $1,551 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 47d |  alpheclabs | Max Verstappen | SellNo>99¢ | $1,217 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 47d | alpheclabs | Oscar Piastri | SellNo>99¢ | $2,220 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 47d | imake1mil | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $1,121 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 47d | poolicker | George Russell | SellNo>99¢ | $1,305 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 47d | 03- | George Russell | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,376 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 47d | CSL | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $1,656 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 47d | Predictandbreathe | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes>99¢ | $4,845 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 47d | Qofficial | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,048 | −$98 −3.2% | — |
| 47d | maxiplayer2 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $3,036 | +$428 +14% | 5 |
| 47d | maxiplayer | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | −$87 −8.5% | — |
| 47d | tsekinming01 | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,385 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 47d | tsekinming01 | Lando Norris | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,856 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 47d | tsekinming01 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,361 | +$8 +0.6% | 4 |
| 47d | Pulpo94 | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$444 +30% | 6 |
| 47d | Rentabar | Kimi Antonelli | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $5,776 | +$2,718 +47% | 6 |
| 48d | d008 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$130 +6.5% | 4 |
| 48d | SplendidAmadeus | Max Verstappen | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | +$38 +3.4% | 4 |
| 48d | nognach | Kimi Antonelli | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $5,967 | −$4,039 −68% | — |
| 48d | johnnnnnnn | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo92¢ → 0¢ | $1,556 | −$1,556 −100% | 5 |
| 48d | alpheclabs | Charles Leclerc | SellNo>99¢ | $1,850 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 48d |  hd7772 fills | Lando Norris | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $12,158 | +$296 +2.4% | 4 |
| 48d | hd7772 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $3,345 | −$3,345 −100% | 4 |
| 48d | Momo63 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,002 | +$128 +4.3% | 4 |
| 48d | Momo63 | Pierre Gasly | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,799 | +$221 +5.8% | 4 |
| 48d | shyu5000 | Pierre Gasly | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,940 | +$229 +5.8% | 4 |
| 48d |  DavidShekel2 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo96¢ → 0¢ | $4,116 | −$4,116 −100% | 4 |
| 48d | Clawbangers2 fills | Pierre Gasly | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,750 | +$146 +5.3% | 4 |
| 48d | hd777 | Max Verstappen | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $12,044 | +$461 +3.8% | 4 |
| 48d | Homelandom | Max Verstappen | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $16,859 | +$718 +4.3% | 4 |
| 48d | 0F625 fills | Pierre Gasly | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $36,652 | +$1,907 +5.2% | 4 |
| 48d | Offensive-Complexity-EncounterNew account | Lando Norris | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$159 +3.2% | 4 |
| 48d |  Dreamfull | Lando Norris | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,226 | −$366 −30% | — |
| 49d | Rentabar | George Russell | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $1,310 | −$1,310 −100% | 4 |
| 49d | Tender-Sombrero | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,388 | +$226 +16% | 4 |
| 50d | Jest55 | Lando Norris | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $3,928 | +$1,604 +41% | 4 |
| 55d | kuinji | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $1,209 | −$1,209 −100% | 4 |
| 55d | bromberg3 fills | Kimi Antonelli | BuyNo91¢ → 0¢ | $5,132 | −$5,132 −100% | 4 |
| 58d |  Filobestia | Kimi Antonelli | SellNo91¢ → 0¢ | $1,160 | +$1,160 +100% | — |
| 61d | bromberg | Lewis Hamilton | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,657 | +$309 +19% | 4 |
| 61d | bromberg | Charles Leclerc | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$194 +17% | 4 |
| 62d |  Nooserac | Oscar Piastri | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | +$139 +11% | 4 |
DavidShekel2,318 shares
2Week1Shower1,324 sharesThis is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kimi Antonelli means the market gives it about 100%.